Louisiana Monroe’s third-down conversion rate with Bryson Roland and since Bryson Roland’s last game
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Against what the season’s ratings expected, Louisiana Monroe was 10.7 percentage points under with Bryson Roland and 11.0 percentage points over since Bryson Roland’s last game in 2026, 6 games against 1. The plain averages are 28.5% and 43.8%, a difference of 15.2%. All 4 away games were with Bryson Roland. Both night games were with Bryson Roland. All 4 nonconference games were with Bryson Roland.
Bryson Roland, running back: 150 rushing yards, 43 carries and 5 receptions in 7 games this season.
One game since Bryson Roland’s last game is one game, not a sample, but maybe you can find something if you squint.
third-down conversion rate a game over expected
with Bryson Roland
−10.7%
since Bryson Roland’s last game
+11.0%
-10%0%10%
plain
28.5%
43.8%
20%30%40%50%
The games
with Bryson Rolandsince Bryson Roland’s last game
| Side | Date | Game | Result | 3rd downs | Expected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 5, 2026 | @ Mississippi State | L | 18.8% | 33.1% | |
| Sep 12, 2026 | @ UAB | L | 25.0% | 35.8% | |
| Sep 19, 2026 | vsSS E Louisiana | L | 57.1% | — | |
| Sep 26, 2026 | vs Florida Atlantic | L | 30.8% | 36.4% | |
| Oct 3, 2026 | @ South Alabama | L | 23.1% | 34.1% | |
| Oct 17, 2026 | vs Louisiana Tech | L | 18.2% | 34.8% | |
| Oct 24, 2026 | @ Troy | W | 26.7% | 32.4% | |
| Oct 31, 2026 | vs Southern Miss | L | 43.8% | 32.8% |
Method
- Expected is an offense and a defense a team, fit over every 2026 game between two teams in the table with the game being read left out, plus 1.4% for the home team (the edge the fit finds once strength is in), nothing at a neutral site.
- Each expected number is then fit to the season’s games: a game bears out about 40% of the difference the model predicts.
- S E Louisiana has no other game in the table, so that game has no expected number and sits out the second figure.
- Who played is read from the schools’ box scores’ participation lists, which name every player who entered the game.