Louisiana Monroe’s points of margin with Marcellus Jackson and without Marcellus Jackson
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Against what the season’s ratings expected, Louisiana Monroe was 9.5 points under with Marcellus Jackson and 29.0 points over without Marcellus Jackson in 2026, 6 games against 1. The plain averages are -20.1 and 7.0, a difference of 27.1. All 4 home games were with Marcellus Jackson. Both night games were with Marcellus Jackson. All 4 nonconference games were with Marcellus Jackson.
Marcellus Jackson, receiver: 348 receiving yards, 33 receptions and 1 receiving touchdown in 7 games this season.
One game without Marcellus Jackson is one game, not a sample, but maybe you can find something if you squint.
points of margin a game over expected
with Marcellus Jackson
−9.5
without Marcellus Jackson
+29.0
-20020
plain
-20.1
7.0
-40-200
The games
with Marcellus Jacksonwithout Marcellus Jackson
| Side | Date | Game | Result | points of margin | Expected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 5, 2026 | @ Mississippi State | L | -49 | -30.4 | |
| Sep 12, 2026 | @ UAB | L | -6 | -16.5 | |
| Sep 19, 2026 | vsSS E Louisiana | L | -3 | — | |
| Sep 26, 2026 | vs Florida Atlantic | L | -28 | -2.2 | |
| Oct 3, 2026 | @ South Alabama | L | -17 | -15.4 | |
| Oct 17, 2026 | vs Louisiana Tech | L | -24 | -17.4 | |
| Oct 24, 2026 | @ Troy | W | 7 | -22.0 | |
| Oct 31, 2026 | vs Southern Miss | L | -14 | 0.9 |
Method
- Expected is an offense and a defense a team, fit over every 2026 game between two teams in the table with the game being read left out, plus 3.7 for the home team (the edge the fit finds once strength is in), nothing at a neutral site.
- Each expected number is then fit to the season’s games: a game bears out about 79% of the difference the model predicts.
- S E Louisiana has no other game in the table, so that game has no expected number and sits out the second figure.
- Who played is read from the schools’ box scores’ participation lists, which name every player who entered the game.