Louisiana Monroe’s points of margin with Bryson Roland and since Bryson Roland’s last game
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Against what the season’s ratings expected, Louisiana Monroe was 2.2 points under with Bryson Roland and 14.9 points under since Bryson Roland’s last game over its last 25 games, 6 games against 1. The plain averages are -17.1 and -14.0, a difference of 3.1. Expected was 18.3 points lower with Bryson Roland than since Bryson Roland’s last game. All 4 away games were with Bryson Roland. Both night games were with Bryson Roland. All 4 nonconference games were with Bryson Roland.
Bryson Roland, running back: 150 rushing yards, 43 carries and 5 receptions in 7 of those 25 games.
One game since Bryson Roland’s last game is one game, not a sample, but maybe you can find something if you squint.
points of margin a game over expected
with Bryson Roland
−2.2
since Bryson Roland’s last game
−14.9
-20020
plain
-17.1
-14.0
-40-200
The games
with Bryson Rolandsince Bryson Roland’s last game
| Side | Date | Game | Result | points of margin | Expected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 2, 2024 | @ Marshall | L | -5 | -17.6 | |
| Nov 9, 2024 | vs Texas State | L | -21 | -10.4 | |
| Nov 16, 2024 | @ Auburn | L | -34 | -17.0 | |
| Nov 23, 2024 | @ Arkansas State | L | -7 | -1.3 | |
| Nov 30, 2024 | vs Louisiana | L | -14 | -4.9 | |
| Aug 28, 2025 | vsSSt. Francis (PA) | W | 29 | — | |
| Sep 6, 2025 | @ Alabama | L | -73 | -37.5 | |
| Sep 20, 2025 | @ UTEP | W | 6 | -8.7 | |
| Sep 27, 2025 | vsArkansas State | W | 12 | -11.1 | |
| Oct 4, 2025 | @ Northwestern | L | -35 | -30.8 | |
| Oct 11, 2025 | @ Coastal Carolina | L | -15 | -8.0 | |
| Oct 18, 2025 | vs Troy | L | -23 | -9.2 | |
| Oct 25, 2025 | @ Southern Miss | L | -28 | -12.6 | |
| Nov 1, 2025 | vs Old Dominion | L | -25 | -24.4 | |
| Nov 15, 2025 | vs South Alabama | L | -12 | -6.4 | |
| Nov 22, 2025 | @Texas State | L | -17 | -22.7 | |
| Nov 29, 2025 | @Louisiana | L | -3 | -13.6 | |
| Sep 5, 2026 | @ Mississippi State | L | -49 | -30.4 | |
| Sep 12, 2026 | @ UAB | L | -6 | -16.5 | |
| Sep 19, 2026 | vsSS E Louisiana | L | -3 | — | |
| Sep 26, 2026 | vs Florida Atlantic | L | -28 | -2.2 | |
| Oct 3, 2026 | @South Alabama | L | -17 | -15.4 | |
| Oct 17, 2026 | vs Louisiana Tech | L | -24 | -17.4 | |
| Oct 24, 2026 | @Troy | W | 7 | -22.0 | |
| Oct 31, 2026 | vsSouthern Miss | L | -14 | 0.9 |
Method
- Expected is an offense and a defense a team, fit over every 2026 game between two teams in the table with the game being read left out, plus 3.7 for the home team (the edge the fit finds once strength is in), nothing at a neutral site.
- Each expected number is then fit to the season’s games: a game bears out about 79% of the difference the model predicts.
- S E Louisiana has no other game in the table, so that game has no expected number and sits out the second figure.
- Who played is read from the schools’ box scores’ participation lists, which name every player who entered the game.
- 17 games in 2024 and 2025 are neither with Bryson Roland nor since Bryson Roland’s last game: Bryson Roland had no game for the team those seasons, and sit out.