Putting Up Numbers· college football

Louisiana Monroe’s points allowed with Bryson Roland and since Bryson Roland’s last game

, ,

Against what the season’s ratings expected, Louisiana Monroe was 3.0 points over with Bryson Roland and 7.2 points over since Bryson Roland’s last game in 2026, 6 games against 1. The plain averages are 37.3 and 35.0, a difference of 2.3. Expected was 6.4 points higher with Bryson Roland than since Bryson Roland’s last game. All 4 away games were with Bryson Roland. Both night games were with Bryson Roland. All 4 nonconference games were with Bryson Roland.

Bryson Roland, running back: 150 rushing yards, 43 carries and 5 receptions in 7 games this season.

One game since Bryson Roland’s last game is one game, not a sample, but maybe you can find something if you squint.

points allowed a game over expected

The games

with Bryson Rolandsince Bryson Roland’s last game
Louisiana Monroe’s games, 2026, each marked with Bryson Roland or since Bryson Roland’s last game
SideDateGameResultpoints allowedExpected
Sep 5, 2026@Mississippi StateL6236.9
Sep 12, 2026@UABL2631.1
Sep 19, 2026vsSS E LouisianaL38—
Sep 26, 2026vsFlorida AtlanticL4532.3
Oct 3, 2026@South AlabamaL5235.2
Oct 17, 2026vsLouisiana TechL2433.3
Oct 24, 2026@TroyW1436.1
Oct 31, 2026vsSouthern MissL3527.8

Method

Read against .

  • Expected is an offense and a defense a team, fit over every 2026 game between two teams in the table with the game being read left out, minus 1.9 for the home team (the edge the fit finds once strength is in), nothing at a neutral site.
  • Each expected number is then fit to the season’s games: a game bears out about 66% of the difference the model predicts.
  • S E Louisiana has no other game in the table, so that game has no expected number and sits out the second figure.
  • Who played is read from the schools’ box scores’ participation lists, which name every player who entered the game.