Putting Up Numbers· college football

Louisiana Monroe’s penalty yards with Marcellus Jackson and without Marcellus Jackson

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Against what the season’s ratings expected, Louisiana Monroe was 6.5 yards under with Marcellus Jackson and 21.8 yards under without Marcellus Jackson over its last 25 games, 6 games against 1. The plain averages are 48.7 and 30.0, a difference of 18.7. All 4 home games were with Marcellus Jackson. Both night games were with Marcellus Jackson. All 4 nonconference games were with Marcellus Jackson.

Marcellus Jackson, receiver: 348 receiving yards, 33 receptions and 1 receiving touchdown in 7 of those 25 games.

One game without Marcellus Jackson is one game, not a sample, but maybe you can find something if you squint.

penalty yards a game over expected

The games

with Marcellus Jacksonwithout Marcellus Jackson
Louisiana Monroe’s games, last 25 games, each marked with Marcellus Jackson or without Marcellus Jackson
SideDateGameResultpenalty yardsExpected
Nov 2, 2024@MarshallL4057.8
Nov 9, 2024vsTexas StateL546.5
Nov 16, 2024@AuburnL2046.6
Nov 23, 2024@Arkansas StateL7051.6
Nov 30, 2024vsLouisianaL3546.8
Aug 28, 2025vsSSt. Francis (PA)W45—
Sep 6, 2025@AlabamaL4158.2
Sep 20, 2025@UTEPW9860.3
Sep 27, 2025vsArkansas StateW6767.6
Oct 4, 2025@NorthwesternL6754.0
Oct 11, 2025@Coastal CarolinaL6460.5
Oct 18, 2025vsTroyL4055.3
Oct 25, 2025@Southern MissL7864.4
Nov 1, 2025vsOld DominionL7759.0
Nov 15, 2025vsSouth AlabamaL10151.4
Nov 22, 2025@Texas StateL5055.9
Nov 29, 2025@LouisianaL5262.5
Sep 5, 2026@Mississippi StateL5557.3
Sep 12, 2026@UABL551.4
Sep 19, 2026vsSS E LouisianaL60—
Sep 26, 2026vsFlorida AtlanticL3550.1
Oct 3, 2026@South AlabamaL2253.6
Oct 17, 2026vsLouisiana TechL11851.6
Oct 24, 2026@TroyW3051.8
Oct 31, 2026vsSouthern MissL4656.1

Method

Read against .

  • Expected is an offense and a defense a team, fit over every 2026 game between two teams in the table with the game being read left out, minus 1.3 for the home team (the edge the fit finds once strength is in), nothing at a neutral site.
  • Each expected number is then fit to the season’s games: a game bears out about 27% of the difference the model predicts.
  • S E Louisiana has no other game in the table, so that game has no expected number and sits out the second figure.
  • Who played is read from the schools’ box scores’ participation lists, which name every player who entered the game.
  • 17 games in 2024 and 2025 are neither with Marcellus Jackson nor without Marcellus Jackson: Marcellus Jackson had no game for the team those seasons, and sit out.