Putting Up Numbers· college football

Louisiana Monroe’s penalty yards with Landon Graves and without Landon Graves

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Against what the season’s ratings expected, Louisiana Monroe was 13.6 yards over with Landon Graves and 0.6 yards over without Landon Graves over its last 25 games, 1 game against 17. The plain averages are 78.0 and 56.5, a difference of 21.5. All 9 home games were without Landon Graves. All 6 night games were without Landon Graves. Both opponents outside the major colleges were without Landon Graves.

Landon Graves, quarterback: 185 passing yards, 43 pass attempts and 19 completions in 9 of those 25 games.

One game with Landon Graves is one game, not a sample, but maybe you can find something if you squint.

penalty yards a game over expected

The games

with Landon Graveswithout Landon Graves
Louisiana Monroe’s games, last 25 games, each marked with Landon Graves or without Landon Graves
SideDateGameResultpenalty yardsExpected
Nov 2, 2024@MarshallL4057.8
Nov 9, 2024vsTexas StateL546.5
Nov 16, 2024@AuburnL2046.6
Nov 23, 2024@Arkansas StateL7051.6
Nov 30, 2024vsLouisianaL3546.8
Aug 28, 2025vsSSt. Francis (PA)W45—
Sep 6, 2025@AlabamaL4158.2
Sep 20, 2025@UTEPW9860.3
Sep 27, 2025vsArkansas StateW6767.6
Oct 4, 2025@NorthwesternL6754.0
Oct 11, 2025@Coastal CarolinaL6460.5
Oct 18, 2025vsTroyL4055.3
Oct 25, 2025@Southern MissL7864.4
Nov 1, 2025vsOld DominionL7759.0
Nov 15, 2025vsSouth AlabamaL10151.4
Nov 22, 2025@Texas StateL5055.9
Nov 29, 2025@LouisianaL5262.5
Sep 5, 2026@Mississippi StateL5557.5
Sep 12, 2026@UABL551.6
Sep 19, 2026vsSS E LouisianaL60—
Sep 26, 2026vsFlorida AtlanticL3550.3
Oct 3, 2026@South AlabamaL2253.3
Oct 17, 2026vsLouisiana TechL11851.7
Oct 24, 2026@TroyW3052.0
Oct 31, 2026vsSouthern MissL4656.2

Method

Read against .

  • Expected is an offense and a defense a team, fit over every game of its season between two teams in the table with the game being read left out, minus 2.1 in 2025, minus 1.4 in 2026 for the home team (the edge the fit finds once strength is in), nothing at a neutral site.
  • Each expected number is then fit to the season’s games: a game bears out about 45% in 2025, 27% in 2026 of the difference the model predicts.
  • St. Francis (PA), S E Louisiana have no other game in the table, so those games have no expected number and sit out the second figure.
  • Who played is read from the schools’ box scores’ participation lists, which name every player who entered the game.
  • With him means he was the team’s quarterback that game, at least half of its pass attempts; a game he left early or came into late reads as without him.
  • 5 games in 2024 are neither with Landon Graves nor without Landon Graves: Landon Graves had no game for the team that season, and sit out.