Putting Up Numbers· college football

Louisiana Monroe’s passing yards with Marcellus Jackson and without Marcellus Jackson

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Against what the season’s ratings expected, Louisiana Monroe was 4.1 yards under with Marcellus Jackson and 64.8 yards under without Marcellus Jackson in 2026, 6 games against 1. The plain averages are 215.9 and 149.0, a difference of 66.9. All 4 home games were with Marcellus Jackson. Both night games were with Marcellus Jackson. All 4 nonconference games were with Marcellus Jackson.

Marcellus Jackson, receiver: 348 receiving yards, 33 receptions and 1 receiving touchdown in 7 games this season.

One game without Marcellus Jackson is one game, not a sample, but maybe you can find something if you squint.

passing yards a game over expected

The games

with Marcellus Jacksonwithout Marcellus Jackson
Louisiana Monroe’s games, 2026, each marked with Marcellus Jackson or without Marcellus Jackson
SideDateGameResultpassing yardsExpected
Sep 5, 2026@Mississippi StateL140214.7
Sep 12, 2026@UABL56160.5
Sep 19, 2026vsSS E LouisianaL315—
Sep 26, 2026vsFlorida AtlanticL278215.6
Oct 3, 2026@South AlabamaL355195.6
Oct 17, 2026vsLouisiana TechL165222.5
Oct 24, 2026@TroyW149213.8
Oct 31, 2026vsSouthern MissL202211.9

Method

Read against .

  • Expected is an offense and a defense a team, fit over every 2026 game between two teams in the table with the game being read left out, plus 4.1 for the home team (the edge the fit finds once strength is in), nothing at a neutral site.
  • Each expected number is then fit to the season’s games: a game bears out about 59% of the difference the model predicts.
  • S E Louisiana has no other game in the table, so that game has no expected number and sits out the second figure.
  • Who played is read from the schools’ box scores’ participation lists, which name every player who entered the game.