Putting Up Numbers· college football

Louisiana Monroe’s passing yards with Bryson Roland and since Bryson Roland’s last game

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Against what the season’s ratings expected, Louisiana Monroe was 13.2 yards under with Bryson Roland and 10.0 yards under since Bryson Roland’s last game over its last 25 games, 6 games against 1. The plain averages are 208.3 and 202.0, a difference of 6.3. Expected was 8.3 yards lower with Bryson Roland than since Bryson Roland’s last game. All 4 away games were with Bryson Roland. Both night games were with Bryson Roland. All 4 nonconference games were with Bryson Roland.

Bryson Roland, running back: 150 rushing yards, 43 carries and 5 receptions in 7 of those 25 games.

One game since Bryson Roland’s last game is one game, not a sample, but maybe you can find something if you squint.

passing yards a game over expected

The games

with Bryson Rolandsince Bryson Roland’s last game
Louisiana Monroe’s games, last 25 games, each marked with Bryson Roland or since Bryson Roland’s last game
SideDateGameResultpassing yardsExpected
Nov 2, 2024@MarshallL149148.9
Nov 9, 2024vsTexas StateL119161.7
Nov 16, 2024@AuburnL154143.1
Nov 23, 2024@Arkansas StateL137196.0
Nov 30, 2024vsLouisianaL168146.0
Aug 28, 2025vsSSt. Francis (PA)W123—
Sep 6, 2025@AlabamaL55151.8
Sep 20, 2025@UTEPW149185.0
Sep 27, 2025vsArkansas StateW185196.6
Oct 4, 2025@NorthwesternL186150.3
Oct 11, 2025@Coastal CarolinaL176209.1
Oct 18, 2025vsTroyL228162.8
Oct 25, 2025@Southern MissL103216.2
Nov 1, 2025vsOld DominionL161171.4
Nov 15, 2025vsSouth AlabamaL82184.5
Nov 22, 2025@Texas StateL166204.2
Nov 29, 2025@LouisianaL311176.9
Sep 5, 2026@Mississippi StateL140214.8
Sep 12, 2026@UABL56160.3
Sep 19, 2026vsSS E LouisianaL315—
Sep 26, 2026vsFlorida AtlanticL278215.2
Oct 3, 2026@South AlabamaL355195.5
Oct 17, 2026vsLouisiana TechL165222.5
Oct 24, 2026@TroyW149214.0
Oct 31, 2026vsSouthern MissL202212.0

Method

Read against .

  • Expected is an offense and a defense a team, fit over every 2026 game between two teams in the table with the game being read left out, plus 3.9 for the home team (the edge the fit finds once strength is in), nothing at a neutral site.
  • Each expected number is then fit to the season’s games: a game bears out about 59% of the difference the model predicts.
  • S E Louisiana has no other game in the table, so that game has no expected number and sits out the second figure.
  • Who played is read from the schools’ box scores’ participation lists, which name every player who entered the game.
  • 17 games in 2024 and 2025 are neither with Bryson Roland nor since Bryson Roland’s last game: Bryson Roland had no game for the team those seasons, and sit out.