Louisiana Monroe’s pass attempts with Marcellus Jackson and without Marcellus Jackson
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Against what the season’s ratings expected, Louisiana Monroe was 0.2 pass attempts under with Marcellus Jackson and 0.7 pass attempts over without Marcellus Jackson in 2026, 6 games against 1. The plain averages are 31.3 and 31.0, a difference of 0.3. All 4 home games were with Marcellus Jackson. Both night games were with Marcellus Jackson. All 4 nonconference games were with Marcellus Jackson.
Marcellus Jackson, receiver: 348 receiving yards, 33 receptions and 1 receiving touchdown in 7 games this season.
One game without Marcellus Jackson is one game, not a sample, but maybe you can find something if you squint.
pass attempts a game over expected
with Marcellus Jackson
−0.2
without Marcellus Jackson
+0.7
-50510
plain
31.3
31.0
203040
The games
with Marcellus Jacksonwithout Marcellus Jackson
| Side | Date | Game | Result | pass attempts | Expected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 5, 2026 | @ Mississippi State | L | 28 | 32.7 | |
| Sep 12, 2026 | @ UAB | L | 19 | 26.1 | |
| Sep 19, 2026 | vsSS E Louisiana | L | 38 | — | |
| Sep 26, 2026 | vs Florida Atlantic | L | 30 | 32.0 | |
| Oct 3, 2026 | @ South Alabama | L | 41 | 28.8 | |
| Oct 17, 2026 | vs Louisiana Tech | L | 29 | 32.2 | |
| Oct 24, 2026 | @ Troy | W | 31 | 30.3 | |
| Oct 31, 2026 | vs Southern Miss | L | 34 | 30.3 |
Method
- Expected is an offense and a defense a team, fit over every 2026 game between two teams in the table with the game being read left out, minus 0.1 for the home team (the edge the fit finds once strength is in), nothing at a neutral site.
- Each expected number is then fit to the season’s games: a game bears out about 60% of the difference the model predicts.
- S E Louisiana has no other game in the table, so that game has no expected number and sits out the second figure.
- Who played is read from the schools’ box scores’ participation lists, which name every player who entered the game.