Putting Up Numbers· college football

Louisiana Monroe’s pass attempts with Landon Graves and without Landon Graves

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Against what the season’s ratings expected, Louisiana Monroe was 3.5 pass attempts under with Landon Graves and 0.8 pass attempts under without Landon Graves over its last 25 games, 1 game against 17. The plain averages are 26.0 and 27.7, a difference of 1.7. All 9 home games were without Landon Graves. All 6 night games were without Landon Graves. Both opponents outside the major colleges were without Landon Graves.

Landon Graves, quarterback: 185 passing yards, 43 pass attempts and 19 completions in 9 of those 25 games, 19% of Louisiana Monroe’s pass attempts in those games.

One game with Landon Graves is one game, not a sample, but maybe you can find something if you squint.

pass attempts a game over expected

The games

with Landon Graveswithout Landon Graves
Louisiana Monroe’s games, last 25 games, each marked with Landon Graves or without Landon Graves
SideDateGameResultpass attemptsExpected
Nov 2, 2024@MarshallL1325.1
Nov 9, 2024vsTexas StateL2422.3
Nov 16, 2024@AuburnL1624.6
Nov 23, 2024@Arkansas StateL2223.7
Nov 30, 2024vsLouisianaL3123.1
Aug 28, 2025vsSSt. Francis (PA)W26—
Sep 6, 2025@AlabamaL1827.2
Sep 20, 2025@UTEPW1529.7
Sep 27, 2025vsArkansas StateW2625.5
Oct 4, 2025@NorthwesternL2325.0
Oct 11, 2025@Coastal CarolinaL2928.8
Oct 18, 2025vsTroyL4121.7
Oct 25, 2025@Southern MissL2629.5
Nov 1, 2025vsOld DominionL2128.6
Nov 15, 2025vsSouth AlabamaL1924.5
Nov 22, 2025@Texas StateL2628.5
Nov 29, 2025@LouisianaL3324.9
Sep 5, 2026@Mississippi StateL2832.7
Sep 12, 2026@UABL1926.1
Sep 19, 2026vsSS E LouisianaL38—
Sep 26, 2026vsFlorida AtlanticL3032.0
Oct 3, 2026@South AlabamaL4128.8
Oct 17, 2026vsLouisiana TechL2932.2
Oct 24, 2026@TroyW3130.3
Oct 31, 2026vsSouthern MissL3430.3

Method

Read against .

  • Expected is an offense and a defense a team, fit over every game of its season between two teams in the table with the game being read left out, minus 0.3 in 2025, minus 0.1 in 2026 for the home team (the edge the fit finds once strength is in), nothing at a neutral site.
  • Each expected number is then fit to the season’s games: a game bears out about 73% in 2025, 60% in 2026 of the difference the model predicts.
  • St. Francis (PA), S E Louisiana have no other game in the table, so those games have no expected number and sit out the second figure.
  • Who played is read from the schools’ box scores’ participation lists, which name every player who entered the game.
  • With him means he was the team’s quarterback that game, at least half of its pass attempts; a game he left early or came into late reads as without him.
  • 5 games in 2024 are neither with Landon Graves nor without Landon Graves: Landon Graves had no game for the team that season, and sit out.