Putting Up Numbers· college football

Louisiana Monroe’s pass attempts with Bryson Roland and since Bryson Roland’s last game

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Against what the season’s ratings expected, Louisiana Monroe was 0.7 pass attempts under with Bryson Roland and 3.7 pass attempts over since Bryson Roland’s last game over its last 25 games, 6 games against 1. The plain averages are 30.9 and 34.0, a difference of 3.1. All 4 away games were with Bryson Roland. Both night games were with Bryson Roland. All 4 nonconference games were with Bryson Roland.

Bryson Roland, running back: 150 rushing yards, 43 carries and 5 receptions in 7 of those 25 games.

One game since Bryson Roland’s last game is one game, not a sample, but maybe you can find something if you squint.

pass attempts a game over expected

The games

with Bryson Rolandsince Bryson Roland’s last game
Louisiana Monroe’s games, last 25 games, each marked with Bryson Roland or since Bryson Roland’s last game
SideDateGameResultpass attemptsExpected
Nov 2, 2024@MarshallL1325.1
Nov 9, 2024vsTexas StateL2422.3
Nov 16, 2024@AuburnL1624.6
Nov 23, 2024@Arkansas StateL2223.7
Nov 30, 2024vsLouisianaL3123.1
Aug 28, 2025vsSSt. Francis (PA)W26—
Sep 6, 2025@AlabamaL1827.2
Sep 20, 2025@UTEPW1529.7
Sep 27, 2025vsArkansas StateW2625.5
Oct 4, 2025@NorthwesternL2325.0
Oct 11, 2025@Coastal CarolinaL2928.8
Oct 18, 2025vsTroyL4121.7
Oct 25, 2025@Southern MissL2629.5
Nov 1, 2025vsOld DominionL2128.6
Nov 15, 2025vsSouth AlabamaL1924.5
Nov 22, 2025@Texas StateL2628.5
Nov 29, 2025@LouisianaL3324.9
Sep 5, 2026@Mississippi StateL2832.7
Sep 12, 2026@UABL1926.1
Sep 19, 2026vsSS E LouisianaL38—
Sep 26, 2026vsFlorida AtlanticL3032.0
Oct 3, 2026@South AlabamaL4128.8
Oct 17, 2026vsLouisiana TechL2932.2
Oct 24, 2026@TroyW3130.3
Oct 31, 2026vsSouthern MissL3430.3

Method

Read against .

  • Expected is an offense and a defense a team, fit over every 2026 game between two teams in the table with the game being read left out, minus 0.1 for the home team (the edge the fit finds once strength is in), nothing at a neutral site.
  • Each expected number is then fit to the season’s games: a game bears out about 60% of the difference the model predicts.
  • S E Louisiana has no other game in the table, so that game has no expected number and sits out the second figure.
  • Who played is read from the schools’ box scores’ participation lists, which name every player who entered the game.
  • 17 games in 2024 and 2025 are neither with Bryson Roland nor since Bryson Roland’s last game: Bryson Roland had no game for the team those seasons, and sit out.