Putting Up Numbers· college football

Liberty’s total yards with Kanye Udoh and without Kanye Udoh

, ,

Against what the season’s ratings expected, Liberty was 37.8 yards over with Kanye Udoh and 17.0 yards under without Kanye Udoh in 2026, 4 games against 3. The plain averages are 436.0 and 382.0, a difference of 54.0.

Kanye Udoh, running back: 70 rushing yards and 12 carries in 4 games this season.

3 games without Kanye Udoh is still too small a sample for the statistics to say much, but maybe you can find something if you squint.

total yards a game over expected

A +54.8 difference in total yards over expected with Kanye Udoh vs without Kanye Udoh is a bit unusual: shuffle which games were with Kanye Udoh and it comes up 15 times in 100.

A +54.0 difference in total yards with Kanye Udoh vs without Kanye Udoh is a bit unusual: shuffle which games were with Kanye Udoh and it comes up 12 times in 100.

The games

with Kanye Udohwithout Kanye Udoh
Liberty’s games, 2026, each marked with Kanye Udoh or without Kanye Udoh
SideDateGameResulttotal yardsExpected
Sep 5, 2026@James MadisonL332409.2
Sep 12, 2026vsGGardner-WebbW396—
Sep 19, 2026vsBall StateW465442.7
Sep 24, 2026@Coastal CarolinaW487395.6
Oct 2, 2026@DelawareW439432.2
Oct 8, 2026vsSam HoustonW411384.8
Oct 22, 2026@Kennesaw StateW403403.2
Oct 31, 2026vsFlorida InternationalW393362.5

Method

Read against .

  • Expected is an offense and a defense a team, fit over every 2026 game between two teams in the table with the game being read left out, plus 12.1 for the home team (the edge the fit finds once strength is in), nothing at a neutral site.
  • Each expected number is then fit to the season’s games: a game bears out about 67% of the difference the model predicts.
  • The shuffle keeps the season’s shape: the games are cut in two where one date leaves the least variance, each game is read against its stretch, and the sides are shuffled only inside each stretch.
  • Gardner-Webb has no other game in the table, so that game has no expected number and sits out the second figure.
  • Who played is read from the schools’ box scores’ participation lists, which name every player who entered the game.