Putting Up Numbers· college football

Liberty’s rushing yards with Kanye Udoh and without Kanye Udoh

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Against what the season’s ratings expected, Liberty was 32.3 yards over with Kanye Udoh and 16.9 yards over without Kanye Udoh in 2026, 4 games against 3. The plain averages are 224.2 and 205.0, a difference of 19.2.

Kanye Udoh, running back: 70 rushing yards and 12 carries in 4 games this season, 8% of Liberty’s rushing yards in those games.

3 games without Kanye Udoh is still too small a sample for the statistics to say much, but maybe you can find something if you squint.

rushing yards a game over expected

A +15.4 difference in rushing yards over expected with Kanye Udoh vs without Kanye Udoh is about what you’d expect.

A +19.2 difference in rushing yards with Kanye Udoh vs without Kanye Udoh is about what you’d expect.

The games

with Kanye Udohwithout Kanye Udoh
Liberty’s games, 2026, each marked with Kanye Udoh or without Kanye Udoh
SideDateGameResultrushing yardsExpected
Sep 5, 2026@James MadisonL102179.5
Sep 12, 2026vsGGardner-WebbW210—
Sep 19, 2026vsBall StateW217219.2
Sep 24, 2026@Coastal CarolinaW265205.3
Oct 2, 2026@DelawareW282169.8
Oct 8, 2026vsSam HoustonW297197.3
Oct 22, 2026@Kennesaw StateW216187.6
Oct 31, 2026vsFlorida InternationalW147187.6

Method

Read against .

  • Expected is an offense and a defense a team, fit over every 2026 game between two teams in the table with the game being read left out, plus 8.0 for the home team (the edge the fit finds once strength is in), nothing at a neutral site.
  • Each expected number is then fit to the season’s games: a game bears out about 60% of the difference the model predicts.
  • The shuffle keeps the season’s shape: the games are cut in two where one date leaves the least variance, each game is read against its stretch, and the sides are shuffled only inside each stretch.
  • Gardner-Webb has no other game in the table, so that game has no expected number and sits out the second figure.
  • Who played is read from the schools’ box scores’ participation lists, which name every player who entered the game.