Putting Up Numbers· college football

Liberty’s penalty yards with Kanye Udoh and without Kanye Udoh

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Against what the season’s ratings expected, Liberty was 6.5 yards over with Kanye Udoh and 32.7 yards over without Kanye Udoh over its last 25 games, 4 games against 3. The plain averages are 75.2 and 94.7, a difference of 19.5.

Kanye Udoh, running back: 70 rushing yards and 12 carries in 4 of those 25 games.

3 games without Kanye Udoh is still too small a sample for the statistics to say much, but maybe you can find something if you squint.

penalty yards a game over expected

A −26.2 difference in penalty yards over expected with Kanye Udoh vs without Kanye Udoh is about what you’d expect.

A −19.5 difference in penalty yards with Kanye Udoh vs without Kanye Udoh is about what you’d expect.

The games

with Kanye Udohwithout Kanye Udoh
Liberty’s games, last 25 games, each marked with Kanye Udoh or without Kanye Udoh
SideDateGameResultpenalty yardsExpected
Nov 9, 2024@Middle TennesseeW3356.1
Nov 16, 2024@UMassW8950.6
Nov 23, 2024vsWestern KentuckyW2051.9
Nov 29, 2024@Sam HoustonL2061.0
Jan 4, 2025vsBuffalo (neutral)L2053.7
Aug 30, 2025vsMaineW40—
Sep 6, 2025@Jacksonville StateL3053.8
Sep 13, 2025@Bowling GreenL4850.7
Sep 20, 2025vsJames MadisonL4447.9
Sep 27, 2025@Old DominionL7054.5
Oct 8, 2025@UTEPW5756.8
Oct 14, 2025vsNew Mexico StateW6259.7
Nov 1, 2025vsDelawareW1555.9
Nov 8, 2025vsMissouri StateL7759.2
Nov 15, 2025@Florida InternationalL5752.2
Nov 22, 2025@Louisiana TechL7058.3
Nov 29, 2025vsKennesaw StateL9752.3
Sep 5, 2026@James MadisonL8265.5
Sep 12, 2026vsGGardner-WebbW96—
Sep 19, 2026vsBall StateW2567.7
Sep 24, 2026@Coastal CarolinaW9061.3
Oct 2, 2026@DelawareW10560.3
Oct 8, 2026vsSam HoustonW11755.9
Oct 22, 2026@Kennesaw StateW8564.5
Oct 31, 2026vsFlorida InternationalW6064.7

Method

Read against .

  • Expected is an offense and a defense a team, fit over every 2026 game between two teams in the table with the game being read left out, minus 1.3 for the home team (the edge the fit finds once strength is in), nothing at a neutral site.
  • Each expected number is then fit to the season’s games: a game bears out about 27% of the difference the model predicts.
  • The shuffle keeps the season’s shape: the games are cut in two where one date leaves the least variance, each game is read against its stretch, and the sides are shuffled only inside each stretch.
  • Gardner-Webb has no other game in the table, so that game has no expected number and sits out the second figure.
  • Who played is read from the schools’ box scores’ participation lists, which name every player who entered the game.
  • 17 games in 2024 and 2025 are neither with Kanye Udoh nor without Kanye Udoh: Kanye Udoh had no game for the team those seasons, and sit out.