Liberty’s carries with Kanye Udoh and without Kanye Udoh
, ,
Against what the season’s ratings expected, Liberty was 3.4 carries over with Kanye Udoh and 0.2 carries under without Kanye Udoh in 2026, 4 games against 3. The plain averages are 41.4 and 38.7, a difference of 2.7.
Kanye Udoh, running back: 70 rushing yards and 12 carries in 4 games this season, 7% of Liberty’s carries in those games.
3 games without Kanye Udoh is still too small a sample for the statistics to say much, but maybe you can find something if you squint.
carries a game over expected
with Kanye Udoh
+3.4
without Kanye Udoh
−0.2
0510
A +3.5 difference in carries over expected with Kanye Udoh vs without Kanye Udoh is about what you’d expect.
plain
41.4
38.7
354045
A +2.7 difference in carries with Kanye Udoh vs without Kanye Udoh is about what you’d expect.
The games
with Kanye Udohwithout Kanye Udoh
| Side | Date | Game | Result | carries | Expected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 5, 2026 | @ James Madison | L | 37 | 37.1 | |
| Sep 12, 2026 | vsGGardner-Webb | W | 44 | — | |
| Sep 19, 2026 | vs Ball State | W | 39 | 39.5 | |
| Sep 24, 2026 | @ Coastal Carolina | W | 44 | 39.1 | |
| Oct 2, 2026 | @ Delaware | W | 47 | 34.3 | |
| Oct 8, 2026 | vs Sam Houston | W | 39 | 40.8 | |
| Oct 22, 2026 | @ Kennesaw State | W | 40 | 38.6 | |
| Oct 31, 2026 | vs Florida International | W | 33 | 36.7 |
Method
- Expected is an offense and a defense a team, fit over every 2026 game between two teams in the table with the game being read left out, plus 0.6 for the home team (the edge the fit finds once strength is in), nothing at a neutral site.
- Each expected number is then fit to the season’s games: a game bears out about 61% of the difference the model predicts.
- The shuffle keeps the season’s shape: the games are cut in two where one date leaves the least variance, each game is read against its stretch, and the sides are shuffled only inside each stretch.
- Gardner-Webb has no other game in the table, so that game has no expected number and sits out the second figure.
- Who played is read from the schools’ box scores’ participation lists, which name every player who entered the game.