Kent State’s carries with Mason King and since Mason King’s last game
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Against what the season’s ratings expected, Kent State was 0.1 carries under with Mason King and 3.9 carries under since Mason King’s last game in 2026, 5 games against 2. The plain averages are 34.7 and 27.7, a difference of 7.0. Both night games were since Mason King’s last game. All 4 first-half games were with Mason King.
Mason King, running back: 202 rushing yards, 52 carries and 6 receptions in 6 games this season, 25% of Kent State’s carries in those games.
3 games since Mason King’s last game is still too small a sample for the statistics to say much, but maybe you can find something if you squint.
carries a game over expected
A +3.9 difference in carries over expected with Mason King vs since Mason King’s last game is about what you’d expect.
A +7.0 difference in carries with Mason King vs since Mason King’s last game is a bit unusual: shuffle which games were with Mason King and it comes up 20 times in 100.
The games
| Side | Date | Game | Result | carries | Expected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 5, 2026 | @ South Carolina | L | 25 | 31.6 | |
| Sep 12, 2026 | vs Wofford | W | 43 | — | |
| Sep 19, 2026 | @ Ohio State | L | 34 | 29.6 | |
| Sep 26, 2026 | vs Ball State | W | 42 | 33.6 | |
| Oct 3, 2026 | vs Ohio | L | 31 | 37.4 | |
| Oct 10, 2026 | @ Western Michigan | L | 33 | 33.2 | |
| Oct 17, 2026 | @ South Florida | L | 35 | 32.1 | |
| Oct 24, 2026 | vs Akron | W | 24 | 34.7 | |
| Oct 30, 2026 | @SSacramento State | L | 24 | — |
Method
- Expected is an offense and a defense a team, fit over every 2026 game between two teams in the table with the game being read left out, plus 0.7 for the home team (the edge the fit finds once strength is in), nothing at a neutral site.
- Each expected number is then fit to the season’s games: a game bears out about 61% of the difference the model predicts.
- The two sides are the games before and after one date, so the shuffle moves any game between them.
- Wofford, Sacramento State have no other game in the table, so those games have no expected number and sit out the second figure.
- Who played is read from the schools’ box scores’ participation lists, which name every player who entered the game.