Putting Up Numbers· college football

Kennesaw State’s total yards with Zion Booker and since Zion Booker’s last game

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Against what the season’s ratings expected, Kennesaw State was 12.5 yards under with Zion Booker and 16.1 yards under since Zion Booker’s last game over its last 25 games, 3 games against 4. The plain averages are 364.3 and 344.0, a difference of 20.3. Expected was 31.3 yards lower with Zion Booker than since Zion Booker’s last game. All 4 conference games were since Zion Booker’s last game. All 4 nonconference games were with Zion Booker.

Zion Booker, receiver: 146 receiving yards and 20 receptions in 3 of those 25 games.

total yards a game over expected

A +3.6 difference in total yards over expected with Zion Booker vs since Zion Booker’s last game is about what you’d expect.

A +20.3 difference in total yards with Zion Booker vs since Zion Booker’s last game is about what you’d expect.

The games

with Zion Bookersince Zion Booker’s last game
Kennesaw State’s games, last 25 games, each marked with Zion Booker or since Zion Booker’s last game
SideDateGameResulttotal yardsExpected
Nov 16, 2024vsSam HoustonL250236.7
Nov 23, 2024vsFlorida InternationalW363265.0
Nov 30, 2024@Louisiana TechL146248.8
Aug 29, 2025@Wake ForestL307324.1
Sep 6, 2025@IndianaL271269.0
Sep 13, 2025vsMMerrimackW369—
Sep 20, 2025vsArkansas StateW507425.2
Sep 27, 2025vsMiddle TennesseeW353471.1
Oct 9, 2025vsLouisiana TechW400437.6
Oct 21, 2025@Florida InternationalW502409.9
Oct 28, 2025vsUTEPW304453.6
Nov 8, 2025@New Mexico StateW428432.4
Nov 15, 2025@Jacksonville StateL579397.0
Nov 22, 2025vsMissouri StateW500409.9
Nov 29, 2025@LibertyW454403.8
Dec 5, 2025@Jacksonville StateW320431.2
Dec 19, 2025vsWestern Michigan (neutral)L378357.6
Sep 3, 2026vsWWest GeorgiaW508—
Sep 12, 2026vsGeorgia StateL332391.7
Sep 19, 2026@TennesseeL291235.0
Sep 26, 2026@Arkansas StateL326359.7
Oct 7, 2026vsJacksonville StateL410333.7
Oct 14, 2026@Missouri StateL337419.8
Oct 22, 2026vsLibertyL297311.6
Oct 28, 2026@Middle TennesseeW332375.3

Method

Read against .

  • Expected is an offense and a defense a team, fit over every 2026 game between two teams in the table with the game being read left out, plus 12.1 for the home team (the edge the fit finds once strength is in), nothing at a neutral site.
  • Each expected number is then fit to the season’s games: a game bears out about 67% of the difference the model predicts.
  • The two sides are the games before and after one date, so the shuffle moves any game between them.
  • West Georgia has no other game in the table, so that game has no expected number and sits out the second figure.
  • Who played is read from the schools’ box scores’ participation lists, which name every player who entered the game.
  • 17 games in 2024 and 2025 are neither with Zion Booker nor since Zion Booker’s last game: Zion Booker had no game for the team those seasons, and sit out.