
Kennesaw State’s total yards with Zion Booker and since Zion Booker’s last game
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Against what the season’s ratings expected, Kennesaw State was 12.5 yards under with Zion Booker and 16.1 yards under since Zion Booker’s last game over its last 25 games, 3 games against 4. The plain averages are 364.3 and 344.0, a difference of 20.3. Expected was 31.3 yards lower with Zion Booker than since Zion Booker’s last game. All 4 conference games were since Zion Booker’s last game. All 4 nonconference games were with Zion Booker.
Zion Booker, receiver: 146 receiving yards and 20 receptions in 3 of those 25 games.
total yards a game over expected
A +3.6 difference in total yards over expected with Zion Booker vs since Zion Booker’s last game is about what you’d expect.
A +20.3 difference in total yards with Zion Booker vs since Zion Booker’s last game is about what you’d expect.
The games
| Side | Date | Game | Result | total yards | Expected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 16, 2024 | vs | L | 250 | 236.7 | |
| Nov 23, 2024 | vs | W | 363 | 265.0 | |
| Nov 30, 2024 | @ | L | 146 | 248.8 | |
| Aug 29, 2025 | @ | L | 307 | 324.1 | |
| Sep 6, 2025 | @ | L | 271 | 269.0 | |
| Sep 13, 2025 | vsMMerrimack | W | 369 | — | |
| Sep 20, 2025 | vs | W | 507 | 425.2 | |
| Sep 27, 2025 | vs | W | 353 | 471.1 | |
| Oct 9, 2025 | vs | W | 400 | 437.6 | |
| Oct 21, 2025 | @ | W | 502 | 409.9 | |
| Oct 28, 2025 | vs | W | 304 | 453.6 | |
| Nov 8, 2025 | @ | W | 428 | 432.4 | |
| Nov 15, 2025 | @ | L | 579 | 397.0 | |
| Nov 22, 2025 | vs | W | 500 | 409.9 | |
| Nov 29, 2025 | @ | W | 454 | 403.8 | |
| Dec 5, 2025 | @ | W | 320 | 431.2 | |
| Dec 19, 2025 | vs | L | 378 | 357.6 | |
| Sep 3, 2026 | vsWWest Georgia | W | 508 | — | |
| Sep 12, 2026 | vs | L | 332 | 391.7 | |
| Sep 19, 2026 | @ | L | 291 | 235.0 | |
| Sep 26, 2026 | @ | L | 326 | 359.7 | |
| Oct 7, 2026 | vs | L | 410 | 333.7 | |
| Oct 14, 2026 | @ | L | 337 | 419.8 | |
| Oct 22, 2026 | vs | L | 297 | 311.6 | |
| Oct 28, 2026 | @ | W | 332 | 375.3 |
Method
- Expected is an offense and a defense a team, fit over every 2026 game between two teams in the table with the game being read left out, plus 12.1 for the home team (the edge the fit finds once strength is in), nothing at a neutral site.
- Each expected number is then fit to the season’s games: a game bears out about 67% of the difference the model predicts.
- The two sides are the games before and after one date, so the shuffle moves any game between them.
- West Georgia has no other game in the table, so that game has no expected number and sits out the second figure.
- Who played is read from the schools’ box scores’ participation lists, which name every player who entered the game.
- 17 games in 2024 and 2025 are neither with Zion Booker nor since Zion Booker’s last game: Zion Booker had no game for the team those seasons, and sit out.