Kennesaw State’s rushing yards with Latrelle Murrell and since Latrelle Murrell’s last game
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Against what the season’s ratings expected, Kennesaw State was 19.0 yards under with Latrelle Murrell and 12.0 yards under since Latrelle Murrell’s last game in 2026, 6 games against 1. The plain averages are 132.0 and 126.0, a difference of 6.0. Expected was 14.6 yards lower with Latrelle Murrell than since Latrelle Murrell’s last game. All 4 home games were with Latrelle Murrell. All 4 nonconference games were with Latrelle Murrell. All 4 first-half games were with Latrelle Murrell.
Latrelle Murrell, running back: 169 rushing yards, 29 carries and 5 receptions in 7 games this season, 18% of Kennesaw State’s rushing yards in those games.
One game since Latrelle Murrell’s last game is one game, not a sample, but maybe you can find something if you squint.
rushing yards a game over expected
The games
| Side | Date | Game | Result | rushing yards | Expected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 3, 2026 | vsWWest Georgia | W | 297 | — | |
| Sep 12, 2026 | vs Georgia State | L | 72 | 140.4 | |
| Sep 19, 2026 | @ Tennessee | L | 102 | 57.5 | |
| Sep 26, 2026 | @ Arkansas State | L | 197 | 132.4 | |
| Oct 7, 2026 | vs Jacksonville State | L | 117 | 137.6 | |
| Oct 14, 2026 | @ Missouri State | L | 77 | 150.4 | |
| Oct 22, 2026 | vs Liberty | L | 62 | 122.4 | |
| Oct 28, 2026 | @ Middle Tennessee | W | 126 | 138.0 |
Method
- Expected is an offense and a defense a team, fit over every 2026 game between two teams in the table with the game being read left out, plus 8.1 for the home team (the edge the fit finds once strength is in), nothing at a neutral site.
- Each expected number is then fit to the season’s games: a game bears out about 60% of the difference the model predicts.
- West Georgia has no other game in the table, so that game has no expected number and sits out the second figure.
- Who played is read from the schools’ box scores’ participation lists, which name every player who entered the game.