Putting Up Numbers· college football

Kennesaw State’s points with Latrelle Murrell and since Latrelle Murrell’s last game

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Against what the season’s ratings expected, Kennesaw State was 6.4 points under with Latrelle Murrell and 22.5 points over since Latrelle Murrell’s last game over its last 25 games, 6 games against 1. The plain averages are 20.0 and 44.0, a difference of 24.0. All 4 home games were with Latrelle Murrell. All 4 nonconference games were with Latrelle Murrell.

Latrelle Murrell, running back: 169 rushing yards, 29 carries and 5 receptions in 7 of those 25 games.

One game since Latrelle Murrell’s last game is one game, not a sample, but maybe you can find something if you squint.

points a game over expected

The games

with Latrelle Murrellsince Latrelle Murrell’s last game
Kennesaw State’s games, last 25 games, each marked with Latrelle Murrell or since Latrelle Murrell’s last game
SideDateGameResultpointsExpected
Nov 16, 2024vsSam HoustonL1715.6
Nov 23, 2024vsFlorida InternationalW2717.4
Nov 30, 2024@Louisiana TechL016.4
Aug 29, 2025@Wake ForestL920.5
Sep 6, 2025@IndianaL97.5
Sep 13, 2025vsMMerrimackW27—
Sep 20, 2025vsArkansas StateW2829.5
Sep 27, 2025vsMiddle TennesseeW2435.5
Oct 9, 2025vsLouisiana TechW3525.9
Oct 21, 2025@Florida InternationalW4527.6
Oct 28, 2025vsUTEPW3334.1
Nov 8, 2025@New Mexico StateW2430.3
Nov 15, 2025@Jacksonville StateL2628.0
Nov 22, 2025vsMissouri StateW4129.9
Nov 29, 2025@LibertyW4825.3
Dec 5, 2025@Jacksonville StateW1928.9
Dec 19, 2025vsWestern Michigan (neutral)L622.4
Sep 3, 2026vsWWest GeorgiaW47—
Sep 12, 2026vsGeorgia StateL1729.4
Sep 19, 2026@TennesseeL98.2
Sep 26, 2026@Arkansas StateL1424.6
Oct 7, 2026vsJacksonville StateL2621.1
Oct 14, 2026@Missouri StateL2129.3
Oct 22, 2026vsLibertyL618.7
Oct 28, 2026@Middle TennesseeW4421.5

Method

Read against .

  • Expected is an offense and a defense a team, fit over every 2026 game between two teams in the table with the game being read left out, plus 1.9 for the home team (the edge the fit finds once strength is in), nothing at a neutral site.
  • Each expected number is then fit to the season’s games: a game bears out about 66% of the difference the model predicts.
  • West Georgia has no other game in the table, so that game has no expected number and sits out the second figure.
  • Who played is read from the schools’ box scores’ participation lists, which name every player who entered the game.
  • 17 games in 2024 and 2025 are neither with Latrelle Murrell nor since Latrelle Murrell’s last game: Latrelle Murrell had no game for the team those seasons, and sit out.