Kennesaw State’s points of margin with Latrelle Murrell and since Latrelle Murrell’s last game
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Against what the season’s ratings expected, Kennesaw State was 5.6 points under with Latrelle Murrell and 20.0 points over since Latrelle Murrell’s last game in 2026, 6 games against 1. The plain averages are -5.0 and 16.0, a difference of 21.0. All 4 home games were with Latrelle Murrell. All 4 nonconference games were with Latrelle Murrell. All 4 first-half games were with Latrelle Murrell.
Latrelle Murrell, running back: 169 rushing yards, 29 carries and 5 receptions in 7 games this season.
One game since Latrelle Murrell’s last game is one game, not a sample, but maybe you can find something if you squint.
points of margin a game over expected
with Latrelle Murrell
−5.6
since Latrelle Murrell’s last game
+20.0
-10010
plain
-5.0
16.0
-2002040
The games
with Latrelle Murrellsince Latrelle Murrell’s last game
| Side | Date | Game | Result | points of margin | Expected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 3, 2026 | vsWWest Georgia | W | 47 | — | |
| Sep 12, 2026 | vs Georgia State | L | -14 | 2.8 | |
| Sep 19, 2026 | @ Tennessee | L | -33 | -31.2 | |
| Sep 26, 2026 | @ Arkansas State | L | -3 | -7.2 | |
| Oct 7, 2026 | vs Jacksonville State | L | -1 | -3.7 | |
| Oct 14, 2026 | @ Missouri State | L | -3 | 5.2 | |
| Oct 22, 2026 | vs Liberty | L | -28 | -14.1 | |
| Oct 28, 2026 | @ Middle Tennessee | W | 16 | -4.0 |
Method
- Expected is an offense and a defense a team, fit over every 2026 game between two teams in the table with the game being read left out, plus 3.7 for the home team (the edge the fit finds once strength is in), nothing at a neutral site.
- Each expected number is then fit to the season’s games: a game bears out about 79% of the difference the model predicts.
- West Georgia has no other game in the table, so that game has no expected number and sits out the second figure.
- Who played is read from the schools’ box scores’ participation lists, which name every player who entered the game.