Putting Up Numbers· college football

Kennesaw State’s penalty yards with Zion Booker and since Zion Booker’s last game

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Against what the season’s ratings expected, Kennesaw State was 3.2 yards under with Zion Booker and 23.2 yards over since Zion Booker’s last game in 2026, 3 games against 4. The plain averages are 58.8 and 84.0, a difference of 25.3. All 4 conference games were since Zion Booker’s last game. All 4 nonconference games were with Zion Booker. All 4 first-half games were with Zion Booker.

Zion Booker, receiver: 146 receiving yards and 20 receptions in 3 games this season.

penalty yards a game over expected

A −26.4 difference in penalty yards over expected with Zion Booker vs since Zion Booker’s last game is about what you’d expect.

A −25.3 difference in penalty yards with Zion Booker vs since Zion Booker’s last game is about what you’d expect.

The games

with Zion Bookersince Zion Booker’s last game
Kennesaw State’s games, 2026, each marked with Zion Booker or since Zion Booker’s last game
SideDateGameResultpenalty yardsExpected
Sep 3, 2026vsWWest GeorgiaW65—
Sep 12, 2026vsGeorgia StateL1560.3
Sep 19, 2026@TennesseeL9063.6
Sep 26, 2026@Arkansas StateL6555.7
Oct 7, 2026vsJacksonville StateL13757.8
Oct 14, 2026@Missouri StateL9562.5
Oct 22, 2026vsLibertyL3265.9
Oct 28, 2026@Middle TennesseeW7257.2

Method

Read against .

  • Expected is an offense and a defense a team, fit over every 2026 game between two teams in the table with the game being read left out, minus 1.3 for the home team (the edge the fit finds once strength is in), nothing at a neutral site.
  • Each expected number is then fit to the season’s games: a game bears out about 27% of the difference the model predicts.
  • The two sides are the games before and after one date, so the shuffle moves any game between them.
  • West Georgia has no other game in the table, so that game has no expected number and sits out the second figure.
  • Who played is read from the schools’ box scores’ participation lists, which name every player who entered the game.