Kennesaw State’s carries with Zion Booker and since Zion Booker’s last game
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Against what the season’s ratings expected, Kennesaw State was 0.2 carries under with Zion Booker and 4.4 carries under since Zion Booker’s last game in 2026, 3 games against 4. The plain averages are 34.0 and 27.5, a difference of 6.5. All 4 conference games were since Zion Booker’s last game. All 4 nonconference games were with Zion Booker. All 4 first-half games were with Zion Booker.
Zion Booker, receiver: 146 receiving yards and 20 receptions in 3 games this season, 1% of Kennesaw State’s carries in those games.
carries a game over expected
A +4.3 difference in carries over expected with Zion Booker vs since Zion Booker’s last game is about what you’d expect.
A +6.5 difference in carries with Zion Booker vs since Zion Booker’s last game is about what you’d expect.
The games
| Side | Date | Game | Result | carries | Expected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 3, 2026 | vsWWest Georgia | W | 47 | — | |
| Sep 12, 2026 | vs Georgia State | L | 21 | 33.2 | |
| Sep 19, 2026 | @ Tennessee | L | 30 | 26.2 | |
| Sep 26, 2026 | @ Arkansas State | L | 38 | 30.1 | |
| Oct 7, 2026 | vs Jacksonville State | L | 30 | 34.5 | |
| Oct 14, 2026 | @ Missouri State | L | 27 | 33.3 | |
| Oct 22, 2026 | vs Liberty | L | 27 | 29.1 | |
| Oct 28, 2026 | @ Middle Tennessee | W | 26 | 30.8 |
Method
- Expected is an offense and a defense a team, fit over every 2026 game between two teams in the table with the game being read left out, plus 0.6 for the home team (the edge the fit finds once strength is in), nothing at a neutral site.
- Each expected number is then fit to the season’s games: a game bears out about 61% of the difference the model predicts.
- The two sides are the games before and after one date, so the shuffle moves any game between them.
- West Georgia has no other game in the table, so that game has no expected number and sits out the second figure.
- Who played is read from the schools’ box scores’ participation lists, which name every player who entered the game.