James Madison’s third-down conversion rate with Seth Cromwell and without Seth Cromwell
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James Madison averaged 35.9% third-down conversion rate with Seth Cromwell and 62.5% without Seth Cromwell in 2026, 8 games against 1, a difference of 26.6%. All 4 away games were with Seth Cromwell. All 5 night games were with Seth Cromwell. All 8 major-college opponents were with Seth Cromwell.
Seth Cromwell, running back: 314 rushing yards, 65 carries and 4 receptions in 8 games this season.
One game without Seth Cromwell is one game, not a sample, but maybe you can find something if you squint.
third-down conversion rate a game
with Seth Cromwell
35.9%
without Seth Cromwell
62.5%
20%40%60%
The games
with Seth Cromwellwithout Seth Cromwell
| Side | Date | Game | Result | 3rd downs | Expected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 5, 2026 | vs Liberty | W | 40.0% | 34.5% | |
| Sep 12, 2026 | vsWWagner | W | 62.5% | — | |
| Sep 19, 2026 | @ San Diego State | W | 30.8% | 44.3% | |
| Sep 26, 2026 | @ Old Dominion | W | 33.3% | 36.1% | |
| Oct 3, 2026 | vs Marshall | W | 50.0% | 38.3% | |
| Oct 10, 2026 | @ Georgia Southern | W | 31.3% | 36.0% | |
| Oct 17, 2026 | vs Georgia State | W | 50.0% | 33.1% | |
| Oct 22, 2026 | @ Appalachian State | L | 13.3% | 40.6% | |
| Oct 29, 2026 | vs Troy | L | 38.9% | 40.5% |
Method
- Expected is an offense and a defense a team, fit over every 2026 game between two teams in the table with the game being read left out, plus 1.4% for the home team (the edge the fit finds once strength is in), nothing at a neutral site.
- Wagner has no other game in the table, so that game has no expected number and sits out the second figure.
- Who played is read from the schools’ box scores’ participation lists, which name every player who entered the game.