Putting Up Numbers· college football

James Madison’s penalty yards with George Pettaway and since George Pettaway’s last game

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Against what the season’s ratings expected, James Madison was 12.9 yards over with George Pettaway and 13.4 yards over since George Pettaway’s last game in 2026, 7 games against 1. The plain averages are 73.8 and 71.0, a difference of 2.8. Expected was 3.8 yards higher with George Pettaway than since George Pettaway’s last game. All 4 away games were with George Pettaway. All 4 day games were with George Pettaway. All 3 nonconference games were with George Pettaway.

George Pettaway, running back: 812 rushing yards, 125 carries and 8 receptions in 8 games this season.

One game since George Pettaway’s last game is one game, not a sample, but maybe you can find something if you squint.

penalty yards a game over expected

The games

with George Pettawaysince George Pettaway’s last game
James Madison’s games, 2026, each marked with George Pettaway or since George Pettaway’s last game
SideDateGameResultpenalty yardsExpected
Sep 5, 2026vsLibertyW7763.9
Sep 12, 2026vsWWagnerW70—
Sep 19, 2026@San Diego StateW6357.2
Sep 26, 2026@Old DominionW7567.1
Oct 3, 2026vsMarshallW5358.6
Oct 10, 2026@Georgia SouthernW7565.9
Oct 17, 2026vsGeorgia StateW8555.8
Oct 22, 2026@Appalachian StateL9261.3
Oct 29, 2026vsTroyL7157.6

Method

Read against .

  • Expected is an offense and a defense a team, fit over every 2026 game between two teams in the table with the game being read left out, minus 1.3 for the home team (the edge the fit finds once strength is in), nothing at a neutral site.
  • Each expected number is then fit to the season’s games: a game bears out about 27% of the difference the model predicts.
  • Wagner has no other game in the table, so that game has no expected number and sits out the second figure.
  • Who played is read from the schools’ box scores’ participation lists, which name every player who entered the game.