Putting Up Numbers· college football

James Madison’s pass attempts with George Pettaway and since George Pettaway’s last game

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Against what the season’s ratings expected, James Madison was 0.1 pass attempts over with George Pettaway and 4.3 pass attempts over since George Pettaway’s last game in 2026, 7 games against 1. The plain averages are 31.0 and 35.0, a difference of 4.0. All 4 away games were with George Pettaway. All 4 day games were with George Pettaway. All 3 nonconference games were with George Pettaway.

George Pettaway, running back: 812 rushing yards, 125 carries and 8 receptions in 8 games this season.

One game since George Pettaway’s last game is one game, not a sample, but maybe you can find something if you squint.

pass attempts a game over expected

The games

with George Pettawaysince George Pettaway’s last game
James Madison’s games, 2026, each marked with George Pettaway or since George Pettaway’s last game
SideDateGameResultpass attemptsExpected
Sep 5, 2026vsLibertyW1831.0
Sep 12, 2026vsWWagnerW27—
Sep 19, 2026@San Diego StateW2732.5
Sep 26, 2026@Old DominionW4228.3
Oct 3, 2026vsMarshallW3233.5
Oct 10, 2026@Georgia SouthernW2930.7
Oct 17, 2026vsGeorgia StateW2732.0
Oct 22, 2026@Appalachian StateL4632.2
Oct 29, 2026vsTroyL3530.7

Method

Read against .

  • Expected is an offense and a defense a team, fit over every 2026 game between two teams in the table with the game being read left out, minus 0.1 for the home team (the edge the fit finds once strength is in), nothing at a neutral site.
  • Each expected number is then fit to the season’s games: a game bears out about 60% of the difference the model predicts.
  • Wagner has no other game in the table, so that game has no expected number and sits out the second figure.
  • Who played is read from the schools’ box scores’ participation lists, which name every player who entered the game.