Putting Up Numbers· college football

James Madison’s carries with Seth Cromwell and without Seth Cromwell

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James Madison averaged 38.1 carries with Seth Cromwell and 35.0 without Seth Cromwell over its last 25 games, 8 games against 1, a difference of 3.1. All 4 away games were with Seth Cromwell. All 5 night games were with Seth Cromwell. All 8 major-college opponents were with Seth Cromwell.

Seth Cromwell, running back: 314 rushing yards, 65 carries and 4 receptions in 8 of those 25 games, 21% of James Madison’s carries in those games.

One game without Seth Cromwell is one game, not a sample, but maybe you can find something if you squint.

carries a game

The games

with Seth Cromwellwithout Seth Cromwell
James Madison’s games, last 25 games, each marked with Seth Cromwell or without Seth Cromwell
SideDateGameResultcarriesExpected
Nov 30, 2024vsMarshallL5337.3
Dec 18, 2024vsWestern Kentucky (neutral)W4441.3
Aug 30, 2025vsWWeber StateW44—
Sep 5, 2025@LouisvilleL4635.6
Sep 20, 2025@LibertyW3941.0
Sep 27, 2025vsGeorgia SouthernW5040.8
Oct 4, 2025@Georgia StateW4042.3
Oct 11, 2025vsLouisianaW3842.4
Oct 18, 2025vsOld DominionW5239.1
Oct 28, 2025@Texas StateW4139.9
Nov 8, 2025@MarshallW3342.8
Nov 15, 2025vsAppalachian StateW5238.1
Nov 22, 2025vsWashington StateW2936.3
Nov 29, 2025@Coastal CarolinaW4641.4
Dec 5, 2025vsTroyW3942.3
Dec 20, 2025@OregonL3537.0
Sep 5, 2026vsLibertyW3135.5
Sep 12, 2026vsWWagnerW35—
Sep 19, 2026@San Diego StateW4541.3
Sep 26, 2026@Old DominionW3641.1
Oct 3, 2026vsMarshallW3537.8
Oct 10, 2026@Georgia SouthernW4630.5
Oct 17, 2026vsGeorgia StateW4036.1
Oct 22, 2026@Appalachian StateL3039.0
Oct 29, 2026vsTroyL4234.4

Method

Read against .

  • Expected is an offense and a defense a team, fit over every 2026 game between two teams in the table with the game being read left out, plus 0.6 for the home team (the edge the fit finds once strength is in), nothing at a neutral site.
  • Wagner has no other game in the table, so that game has no expected number and sits out the second figure.
  • Who played is read from the schools’ box scores’ participation lists, which name every player who entered the game.
  • 16 games in 2024 and 2025 are neither with Seth Cromwell nor without Seth Cromwell: Seth Cromwell had no game for the team those seasons, and sit out.