James Madison’s carries with George Pettaway and since George Pettaway’s last game
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Against what the season’s ratings expected, James Madison was 0.2 carries over with George Pettaway and 7.6 carries over since George Pettaway’s last game in 2026, 7 games against 1. The plain averages are 37.3 and 42.0, a difference of 4.8. All 4 away games were with George Pettaway. All 4 day games were with George Pettaway. All 3 nonconference games were with George Pettaway.
George Pettaway, running back: 812 rushing yards, 125 carries and 8 receptions in 8 games this season, 42% of James Madison’s carries in those games.
One game since George Pettaway’s last game is one game, not a sample, but maybe you can find something if you squint.
carries a game over expected
with George Pettaway
+0.2
since George Pettaway’s last game
+7.6
010
plain
37.3
42.0
30354045
The games
with George Pettawaysince George Pettaway’s last game
| Side | Date | Game | Result | carries | Expected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 5, 2026 | vs Liberty | W | 31 | 35.5 | |
| Sep 12, 2026 | vsWWagner | W | 35 | — | |
| Sep 19, 2026 | @ San Diego State | W | 45 | 41.3 | |
| Sep 26, 2026 | @ Old Dominion | W | 36 | 41.1 | |
| Oct 3, 2026 | vs Marshall | W | 35 | 37.8 | |
| Oct 10, 2026 | @ Georgia Southern | W | 46 | 30.5 | |
| Oct 17, 2026 | vs Georgia State | W | 40 | 36.1 | |
| Oct 22, 2026 | @ Appalachian State | L | 30 | 39.0 | |
| Oct 29, 2026 | vs Troy | L | 42 | 34.4 |
Method
- Expected is an offense and a defense a team, fit over every 2026 game between two teams in the table with the game being read left out, plus 0.6 for the home team (the edge the fit finds once strength is in), nothing at a neutral site.
- Each expected number is then fit to the season’s games: a game bears out about 61% of the difference the model predicts.
- Wagner has no other game in the table, so that game has no expected number and sits out the second figure.
- Who played is read from the schools’ box scores’ participation lists, which name every player who entered the game.