Jacksonville State’s third-down conversion rate with Lucas Farrington and without Lucas Farrington
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Jacksonville State averaged 49.4% third-down conversion rate with Lucas Farrington and 20.0% without Lucas Farrington in 2026, 7 games against 1, a difference of 29.4%. All 4 home games were with Lucas Farrington. All 5 night games were with Lucas Farrington. All 6 major-college opponents were with Lucas Farrington.
Lucas Farrington, running back: 211 rushing yards, 37 carries and 7 receptions in 7 games this season.
One game without Lucas Farrington is one game, not a sample, but maybe you can find something if you squint.
third-down conversion rate a game
with Lucas Farrington
49.4%
without Lucas Farrington
20.0%
20%40%60%80%
The games
with Lucas Farringtonwithout Lucas Farrington
| Side | Date | Game | Result | 3rd downs | Expected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 29, 2026 | @NNorth Dakota State | L | 20.0% | — | |
| Sep 5, 2026 | vsEEastern Kentucky | W | 81.8% | — | |
| Sep 12, 2026 | @ Ohio | L | 60.0% | 40.0% | |
| Sep 19, 2026 | vs Georgia Southern | W | 36.4% | 40.2% | |
| Sep 26, 2026 | vs Middle Tennessee | W | 33.3% | 43.8% | |
| Oct 7, 2026 | @ Kennesaw State | W | 50.0% | 41.6% | |
| Oct 13, 2026 | vs Florida International | W | 30.0% | 41.3% | |
| Oct 28, 2026 | @ New Mexico State | W | 54.5% | 39.5% |
Method
- Expected is an offense and a defense a team, fit over every 2026 game between two teams in the table with the game being read left out, plus 1.4% for the home team (the edge the fit finds once strength is in), nothing at a neutral site.
- North Dakota State, Eastern Kentucky have no other game in the table, so those games have no expected number and sit out the second figure.
- Who played is read from the schools’ box scores’ participation lists, which name every player who entered the game.