Putting Up Numbers· college football

Iowa’s penalty yards with Hank Brown and without Hank Brown

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Against what the season’s ratings expected, Iowa was 18.3 yards under with Hank Brown and 20.2 yards over without Hank Brown in 2026, 6 games against 1. The plain averages are 40.3 and 73.0, a difference of 32.7. All 5 home games were with Hank Brown. All 6 day games were with Hank Brown. All 3 ranked opponents were with Hank Brown.

Hank Brown, quarterback: 1,190 passing yards, 169 pass attempts and 109 completions in 7 games this season.

One game without Hank Brown is one game, not a sample, but maybe you can find something if you squint.

penalty yards a game over expected

The games

with Hank Brownwithout Hank Brown
Iowa’s games, 2026, each marked with Hank Brown or without Hank Brown
SideDateGameResultpenalty yardsExpected
Sep 5, 2026vsNorthern IllinoisW6050.6
Sep 12, 2026vsIowa StateW2554.2
Sep 19, 2026vsNNorthern IowaW83—
Sep 26, 2026@MichiganW3451.9
Oct 3, 2026vsOhio StateL4550.2
Oct 9, 2026@WashingtonW7352.8
Oct 24, 2026@MinnesotaL2551.9
Oct 31, 2026vsWisconsinW1049.9

Method

Read against .

  • Expected is an offense and a defense a team, fit over every 2026 game between two teams in the table with the game being read left out, minus 1.3 for the home team (the edge the fit finds once strength is in), nothing at a neutral site.
  • Each expected number is then fit to the season’s games: a game bears out about 27% of the difference the model predicts.
  • Northern Iowa has no other game in the table, so that game has no expected number and sits out the second figure.
  • Who played is read from the schools’ box scores’ participation lists for 7 of these 8 games; in the other game a player is counted as in it when the box score has a stat for him.
  • With him means he was the team’s quarterback that game, at least half of its pass attempts; a game he left early or came into late reads as without him.