Georgia Tech’s points of margin with Kyle Efford and without Kyle Efford
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Against what the season’s ratings expected, Georgia Tech was 8.4 points over with Kyle Efford and 10.4 points under without Kyle Efford in 2026, 3 games against 4. The plain averages are -6.3 and -5.8, a difference of 0.5. Expected was 9.7 points lower with Kyle Efford than without Kyle Efford. All 3 away games were without Kyle Efford.
Kyle Efford, defender: 3 games this season.
3 games with Kyle Efford is still too small a sample for the statistics to say much, but maybe you can find something if you squint.
points of margin a game over expected
A +18.8 difference in points of margin over expected with Kyle Efford vs without Kyle Efford is a bit unusual: shuffle which games were with Kyle Efford and it comes up 13 times in 100.
A −0.5 difference in points of margin with Kyle Efford vs without Kyle Efford is about what you’d expect.
The games
| Side | Date | Game | Result | points of margin | Expected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 3, 2026 | vs Colorado | L | -1 | -3.4 | |
| Sep 12, 2026 | vs Tennessee | L | -21 | -23.6 | |
| Sep 19, 2026 | vs Mercer | W | 33 | — | |
| Sep 26, 2026 | @ Stanford | L | -7 | 2.3 | |
| Oct 10, 2026 | vs Duke | W | 3 | -17.1 | |
| Oct 17, 2026 | @ Virginia Tech | L | -10 | -12.7 | |
| Oct 24, 2026 | vs Boston College | L | -22 | 5.6 | |
| Oct 31, 2026 | @ Pittsburgh | L | -23 | -15.4 |
Method
- Expected is an offense and a defense a team, fit over every 2026 game between two teams in the table with the game being read left out, plus 3.7 for the home team (the edge the fit finds once strength is in), nothing at a neutral site.
- Each expected number is then fit to the season’s games: a game bears out about 79% of the difference the model predicts.
- The shuffle keeps the season’s shape: the games are cut in two where one date leaves the least variance, each game is read against its stretch, and the sides are shuffled only inside each stretch.
- Mercer has no other game in the table, so that game has no expected number and sits out the second figure.
- Who played is read from the schools’ box scores’ participation lists for 4 of these 8 games; in the other 4 a player is counted as in them when the box score has a stat for him.