Florida’s rushing yards with Eric Singleton Jr. and without Eric Singleton Jr.
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Against what the season’s ratings expected, Florida was 5.4 yards under with Eric Singleton Jr. and 88.6 yards over without Eric Singleton Jr. over its last 25 games, 6 games against 1. The plain averages are 163.0 and 229.5, a difference of 66.5. All 4 ranked opponents were with Eric Singleton Jr.. All 3 top-10 opponents were with Eric Singleton Jr.. All 4 games while ranked were with Eric Singleton Jr..
Eric Singleton Jr., receiver: 112 receiving yards and 14 receptions in 5 of those 25 games, 1% of Florida’s rushing yards in those games.
2 games without Eric Singleton Jr. is still too small a sample for the statistics to say much, but maybe you can find something if you squint.
rushing yards a game over expected
A −66.5 difference in rushing yards with Eric Singleton Jr. vs without Eric Singleton Jr. is about what you’d expect.
The games
| Side | Date | Game | Result | rushing yards | Expected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 9, 2024 | @ Texas | L | 197 | 123.9 | |
| Nov 16, 2024 | vs LSU | W | 116 | 165.7 | |
| Nov 23, 2024 | vs Ole Miss | W | 165 | 133.7 | |
| Nov 30, 2024 | @ Florida State | W | 235 | 196.5 | |
| Dec 20, 2024 | vs Tulane (neutral) | W | 224 | 161.8 | |
| Aug 30, 2025 | vsLLong Island University | W | 200 | — | |
| Sep 6, 2025 | vs South Florida | L | 133 | 157.9 | |
| Sep 13, 2025 | @LSU | L | 79 | 133.2 | |
| Sep 20, 2025 | @ Miami (FL) | L | 80 | 83.6 | |
| Oct 4, 2025 | vsTexas | W | 159 | 110.7 | |
| Oct 11, 2025 | @ Texas A&M | L | 74 | 136.7 | |
| Oct 18, 2025 | vs Mississippi State | W | 173 | 178.5 | |
| Nov 1, 2025 | vs Georgia (neutral) | L | 116 | 91.1 | |
| Nov 8, 2025 | @ Kentucky | L | 105 | 128.1 | |
| Nov 15, 2025 | @Ole Miss | L | 108 | 159.7 | |
| Nov 22, 2025 | vs Tennessee | L | 145 | 179.3 | |
| Nov 29, 2025 | vsFlorida State | W | 272 | 144.0 | |
| Sep 5, 2026 | vs Florida Atlantic | W | 301 | 238.7 | |
| Sep 12, 2026 | vsCCampbell | W | 214 | — | |
| Sep 19, 2026 | @ Auburn | W | 245 | 156.4 | |
| Sep 26, 2026 | vsOle Miss | W | 303 | 159.3 | |
| Oct 3, 2026 | @ Missouri | L | 42 | 145.3 | |
| Oct 10, 2026 | vs South Carolina | L | 120 | 175.5 | |
| Oct 17, 2026 | @Texas | W | 164 | 116.2 | |
| Oct 31, 2026 | vsGeorgia (neutral) | L | 48 | 175.3 |
Method
- Expected is an offense and a defense a team, fit over every 2026 game between two teams in the table with the game being read left out, plus 8.0 for the home team (the edge the fit finds once strength is in), nothing at a neutral site.
- Each expected number is then fit to the season’s games: a game bears out about 60% of the difference the model predicts.
- The shuffle keeps the season’s shape: the games are cut in two where one date leaves the least variance, each game is read against its stretch, and the sides are shuffled only inside each stretch.
- Campbell has no other game in the table, so that game has no expected number and sits out the second figure.
- Who played is read from the schools’ box scores’ participation lists, which name every player who entered the game.
- 17 games in 2024 and 2025 are neither with Eric Singleton Jr. nor without Eric Singleton Jr.: Eric Singleton Jr. had no game for the team those seasons, and sit out.