Florida’s carries with Eric Singleton Jr. and without Eric Singleton Jr.
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Against what the season’s ratings expected, Florida was 0.1 carries under with Eric Singleton Jr. and 13.0 carries over without Eric Singleton Jr. in 2026, 6 games against 1. The plain averages are 37.7 and 41.0, a difference of 3.3. All 4 ranked opponents were with Eric Singleton Jr.. All 3 top-10 opponents were with Eric Singleton Jr.. All 4 games while ranked were with Eric Singleton Jr..
Eric Singleton Jr., receiver: 112 receiving yards and 14 receptions in 5 games this season, 3% of Florida’s carries in those games.
2 games without Eric Singleton Jr. is still too small a sample for the statistics to say much, but maybe you can find something if you squint.
carries a game over expected
A −3.3 difference in carries with Eric Singleton Jr. vs without Eric Singleton Jr. is about what you’d expect.
The games
| Side | Date | Game | Result | carries | Expected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 5, 2026 | vs Florida Atlantic | W | 40 | 39.4 | |
| Sep 12, 2026 | vsCCampbell | W | 30 | — | |
| Sep 19, 2026 | @ Auburn | W | 52 | 39.0 | |
| Sep 26, 2026 | vs Ole Miss | W | 52 | 38.0 | |
| Oct 3, 2026 | @ Missouri | L | 25 | 37.7 | |
| Oct 10, 2026 | vs South Carolina | L | 38 | 37.4 | |
| Oct 17, 2026 | @ Texas | W | 43 | 35.5 | |
| Oct 31, 2026 | vs Georgia (neutral) | L | 28 | 38.7 |
Method
- Expected is an offense and a defense a team, fit over every 2026 game between two teams in the table with the game being read left out, plus 0.6 for the home team (the edge the fit finds once strength is in), nothing at a neutral site.
- Each expected number is then fit to the season’s games: a game bears out about 61% of the difference the model predicts.
- The shuffle keeps the season’s shape: the games are cut in two where one date leaves the least variance, each game is read against its stretch, and the sides are shuffled only inside each stretch.
- Campbell has no other game in the table, so that game has no expected number and sits out the second figure.
- Who played is read from the schools’ box scores’ participation lists, which name every player who entered the game.