Putting Up Numbers· college football

Florida State’s total yards with Ousmane Kromah and since Ousmane Kromah’s last game

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Against what the season’s ratings expected, Florida State was 10.7 yards over with Ousmane Kromah and 23.9 yards over since Ousmane Kromah’s last game in 2026, 6 games against 1. The plain averages are 415.7 and 415.0, a difference of 0.7. Expected was 13.4 yards higher with Ousmane Kromah than since Ousmane Kromah’s last game. All 3 away games were with Ousmane Kromah. All 3 day games were with Ousmane Kromah. All 3 ranked opponents were with Ousmane Kromah.

Ousmane Kromah, running back: 609 rushing yards, 114 carries and 11 receptions in 7 games this season.

One game since Ousmane Kromah’s last game is one game, not a sample, but maybe you can find something if you squint.

total yards a game over expected

The games

with Ousmane Kromahsince Ousmane Kromah’s last game
Florida State’s games, 2026, each marked with Ousmane Kromah or since Ousmane Kromah’s last game
SideDateGameResulttotal yardsExpected
Aug 29, 2026vsNew Mexico StateW424454.1
Sep 7, 2026vsSMUL324408.9
Sep 19, 2026@AlabamaL471332.8
Sep 26, 2026vsCCentral ArkansasW419—
Oct 3, 2026vsVirginiaW465393.2
Oct 9, 2026@LouisvilleL362455.1
Oct 17, 2026@Miami (FL)L445382.4
Oct 31, 2026vsClemsonL415391.1

Method

Read against .

  • Expected is an offense and a defense a team, fit over every 2026 game between two teams in the table with the game being read left out, plus 12.1 for the home team (the edge the fit finds once strength is in), nothing at a neutral site.
  • Each expected number is then fit to the season’s games: a game bears out about 67% of the difference the model predicts.
  • Central Arkansas has no other game in the table, so that game has no expected number and sits out the second figure.
  • Who played is read from the schools’ box scores’ participation lists for 7 of these 8 games; in the other game a player is counted as in it when the box score has a stat for him.