Florida State’s points with Ousmane Kromah and since Ousmane Kromah’s last game
, ,
Against what the season’s ratings expected, Florida State was 1.2 points over with Ousmane Kromah and 4.6 points under since Ousmane Kromah’s last game over its last 25 games, 17 games against 1. The plain averages are 32.5 and 24.0, a difference of 8.5. All 8 away games were with Ousmane Kromah. All 9 day games were with Ousmane Kromah. All 5 ranked opponents were with Ousmane Kromah.
Ousmane Kromah, running back: 1,017 rushing yards, 186 carries and 20 receptions in 19 of those 25 games.
One game since Ousmane Kromah’s last game is one game, not a sample, but maybe you can find something if you squint.
points a game over expected
with Ousmane Kromah
+1.2
since Ousmane Kromah’s last game
−4.6
-20020
plain
32.5
24.0
204060
The games
with Ousmane Kromahsince Ousmane Kromah’s last game
| Side | Date | Game | Result | points | Expected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 26, 2024 | @ Miami (FL) | L | 14 | 16.5 | |
| Nov 2, 2024 | vs North Carolina | L | 11 | 24.9 | |
| Nov 9, 2024 | @ Notre Dame | L | 3 | 7.7 | |
| Nov 23, 2024 | vsCCharleston Southern | W | 41 | — | |
| Nov 30, 2024 | vs Florida | L | 11 | 13.6 | |
| Aug 30, 2025 | vs Alabama | W | 31 | 23.3 | |
| Sep 6, 2025 | vsEEast Texas A&M | W | 77 | — | |
| Sep 20, 2025 | vs Kent State | W | 66 | 40.7 | |
| Sep 26, 2025 | @ Virginia | L | 38 | 21.7 | |
| Oct 4, 2025 | vsMiami (FL) | L | 22 | 18.1 | |
| Oct 11, 2025 | vs Pittsburgh | L | 31 | 31.0 | |
| Oct 18, 2025 | @ Stanford | L | 13 | 32.4 | |
| Nov 1, 2025 | vs Wake Forest | W | 42 | 27.0 | |
| Nov 8, 2025 | @ Clemson | L | 10 | 28.0 | |
| Nov 15, 2025 | vs Virginia Tech | W | 34 | 34.3 | |
| Nov 21, 2025 | @ NC State | L | 11 | 31.4 | |
| Nov 29, 2025 | @Florida | L | 21 | 24.3 | |
| Aug 29, 2026 | vs New Mexico State | W | 34 | 38.9 | |
| Sep 7, 2026 | vs SMU | L | 24 | 34.4 | |
| Sep 19, 2026 | @Alabama | L | 36 | 17.9 | |
| Sep 26, 2026 | vsCCentral Arkansas | W | 34 | — | |
| Oct 3, 2026 | vsVirginia | W | 38 | 28.6 | |
| Oct 9, 2026 | @ Louisville | L | 20 | 32.0 | |
| Oct 17, 2026 | @Miami (FL) | L | 35 | 21.6 | |
| Oct 31, 2026 | vsClemson | L | 24 | 28.6 |
Method
- Expected is an offense and a defense a team, fit over every game of its season between two teams in the table with the game being read left out, plus 1.5 in 2025, plus 1.9 in 2026 for the home team (the edge the fit finds once strength is in), nothing at a neutral site.
- Each expected number is then fit to the season’s games: a game bears out about 78% in 2025, 66% in 2026 of the difference the model predicts.
- East Texas A&M, Central Arkansas have no other game in the table, so those games have no expected number and sit out the second figure.
- Who played is read from the schools’ box scores’ participation lists for 19 of these 20 games; in the other game a player is counted as in it when the box score has a stat for him.
- 5 games in 2024 are neither with Ousmane Kromah nor since Ousmane Kromah’s last game: Ousmane Kromah had no game for the team that season, and sit out.