Florida State’s points allowed with Ousmane Kromah and since Ousmane Kromah’s last game
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Against what the season’s ratings expected, Florida State was 0.2 points under with Ousmane Kromah and 15.1 points over since Ousmane Kromah’s last game in 2026, 6 games against 1. The plain averages are 27.9 and 36.0, a difference of 8.1. Expected was 10.7 points higher with Ousmane Kromah than since Ousmane Kromah’s last game. All 3 away games were with Ousmane Kromah. All 3 day games were with Ousmane Kromah. All 3 ranked opponents were with Ousmane Kromah.
Ousmane Kromah, running back: 609 rushing yards, 114 carries and 11 receptions in 7 games this season.
One game since Ousmane Kromah’s last game is one game, not a sample, but maybe you can find something if you squint.
points allowed a game over expected
with Ousmane Kromah
−0.2
since Ousmane Kromah’s last game
+15.1
-10010
plain
27.9
36.0
2040
The games
with Ousmane Kromahsince Ousmane Kromah’s last game
| Side | Date | Game | Result | points allowed | Expected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 29, 2026 | vs New Mexico State | W | 17 | 17.7 | |
| Sep 7, 2026 | vs SMU | L | 27 | 28.7 | |
| Sep 19, 2026 | @ Alabama | L | 50 | 39.9 | |
| Sep 26, 2026 | vsCCentral Arkansas | W | 7 | — | |
| Oct 3, 2026 | vs Virginia | W | 7 | 25.7 | |
| Oct 9, 2026 | @ Louisville | L | 44 | 35.1 | |
| Oct 17, 2026 | @ Miami (FL) | L | 43 | 42.2 | |
| Oct 31, 2026 | vs Clemson | L | 36 | 20.9 |
Method
- Expected is an offense and a defense a team, fit over every 2026 game between two teams in the table with the game being read left out, minus 1.9 for the home team (the edge the fit finds once strength is in), nothing at a neutral site.
- Each expected number is then fit to the season’s games: a game bears out about 66% of the difference the model predicts.
- Central Arkansas has no other game in the table, so that game has no expected number and sits out the second figure.
- Who played is read from the schools’ box scores’ participation lists for 7 of these 8 games; in the other game a player is counted as in it when the box score has a stat for him.