Putting Up Numbers· college football

Florida State’s penalty yards with Ousmane Kromah and since Ousmane Kromah’s last game

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Against what the season’s ratings expected, Florida State was 7.7 yards under with Ousmane Kromah and 9.5 yards under since Ousmane Kromah’s last game in 2026, 6 games against 1. The plain averages are 55.9 and 43.0, a difference of 12.9. All 3 away games were with Ousmane Kromah. All 3 day games were with Ousmane Kromah. All 3 ranked opponents were with Ousmane Kromah.

Ousmane Kromah, running back: 609 rushing yards, 114 carries and 11 receptions in 7 games this season.

One game since Ousmane Kromah’s last game is one game, not a sample, but maybe you can find something if you squint.

penalty yards a game over expected

The games

with Ousmane Kromahsince Ousmane Kromah’s last game
Florida State’s games, 2026, each marked with Ousmane Kromah or since Ousmane Kromah’s last game
SideDateGameResultpenalty yardsExpected
Aug 29, 2026vsNew Mexico StateW6554.0
Sep 7, 2026vsSMUL2755.5
Sep 19, 2026@AlabamaL4054.8
Sep 26, 2026vsCCentral ArkansasW115—
Oct 3, 2026vsVirginiaW8544.4
Oct 9, 2026@LouisvilleL2456.0
Oct 17, 2026@Miami (FL)L3557.3
Oct 31, 2026vsClemsonL4352.5

Method

Read against .

  • Expected is an offense and a defense a team, fit over every 2026 game between two teams in the table with the game being read left out, minus 1.3 for the home team (the edge the fit finds once strength is in), nothing at a neutral site.
  • Each expected number is then fit to the season’s games: a game bears out about 27% of the difference the model predicts.
  • Central Arkansas has no other game in the table, so that game has no expected number and sits out the second figure.
  • Who played is read from the schools’ box scores’ participation lists for 7 of these 8 games; in the other game a player is counted as in it when the box score has a stat for him.