Putting Up Numbers· college football

Florida State’s pass attempts with Ousmane Kromah and since Ousmane Kromah’s last game

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Against what the season’s ratings expected, Florida State was 1.0 pass attempts under with Ousmane Kromah and 5.3 pass attempts over since Ousmane Kromah’s last game over its last 25 games, 17 games against 1. The plain averages are 27.6 and 33.0, a difference of 5.4. All 8 away games were with Ousmane Kromah. All 9 day games were with Ousmane Kromah. All 5 ranked opponents were with Ousmane Kromah.

Ousmane Kromah, running back: 1,017 rushing yards, 186 carries and 20 receptions in 19 of those 25 games.

One game since Ousmane Kromah’s last game is one game, not a sample, but maybe you can find something if you squint.

pass attempts a game over expected

The games

with Ousmane Kromahsince Ousmane Kromah’s last game
Florida State’s games, last 25 games, each marked with Ousmane Kromah or since Ousmane Kromah’s last game
SideDateGameResultpass attemptsExpected
Oct 26, 2024@Miami (FL)L3228.5
Nov 2, 2024vsNorth CarolinaL1829.0
Nov 9, 2024@Notre DameL2630.0
Nov 23, 2024vsCCharleston SouthernW23—
Nov 30, 2024vsFloridaL2830.1
Aug 30, 2025vsAlabamaW1428.5
Sep 6, 2025vsEEast Texas A&MW20—
Sep 20, 2025vsKent StateW2431.5
Sep 26, 2025@VirginiaL3326.1
Oct 4, 2025vsMiami (FL)L4528.0
Oct 11, 2025vsPittsburghL2332.1
Oct 18, 2025@StanfordL3530.1
Nov 1, 2025vsWake ForestW1731.3
Nov 8, 2025@ClemsonL4330.7
Nov 15, 2025vsVirginia TechW2526.8
Nov 21, 2025@NC StateL3232.6
Nov 29, 2025@FloridaL2827.0
Aug 29, 2026vsNew Mexico StateW2726.6
Sep 7, 2026vsSMUL2329.3
Sep 19, 2026@AlabamaL2928.2
Sep 26, 2026vsCCentral ArkansasW20—
Oct 3, 2026vsVirginiaW1927.4
Oct 9, 2026@LouisvilleL3829.4
Oct 17, 2026@Miami (FL)L3036.1
Oct 31, 2026vsClemsonL3327.7

Method

Read against .

  • Expected is an offense and a defense a team, fit over every game of its season between two teams in the table with the game being read left out, minus 0.3 in 2025, minus 0.1 in 2026 for the home team (the edge the fit finds once strength is in), nothing at a neutral site.
  • Each expected number is then fit to the season’s games: a game bears out about 73% in 2025, 60% in 2026 of the difference the model predicts.
  • East Texas A&M, Central Arkansas have no other game in the table, so those games have no expected number and sit out the second figure.
  • Who played is read from the schools’ box scores’ participation lists for 19 of these 20 games; in the other game a player is counted as in it when the box score has a stat for him.
  • 5 games in 2024 are neither with Ousmane Kromah nor since Ousmane Kromah’s last game: Ousmane Kromah had no game for the team that season, and sit out.