Florida International’s points with Anthony Carrie and without Anthony Carrie
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Against what the season’s ratings expected, Florida International was 2.0 points under with Anthony Carrie and 5.3 points under without Anthony Carrie in 2026, 6 games against 1. The plain averages are 18.3 and 23.0, a difference of 4.7. Expected was 8.3 points lower with Anthony Carrie than without Anthony Carrie. All 4 away games were with Anthony Carrie. Both day games were with Anthony Carrie. All 4 nonconference games were with Anthony Carrie.
Anthony Carrie, running back: 258 rushing yards, 82 carries and 10 receptions in 7 games this season.
One game without Anthony Carrie is one game, not a sample, but maybe you can find something if you squint.
points a game over expected
with Anthony Carrie
−2.0
without Anthony Carrie
−5.3
-20-10010
plain
18.3
23.0
102030
The games
with Anthony Carriewithout Anthony Carrie
| Side | Date | Game | Result | points | Expected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 5, 2026 | @ South Florida | L | 9 | 14.3 | |
| Sep 12, 2026 | vs Buffalo | W | 33 | 21.7 | |
| Sep 19, 2026 | @ Florida Atlantic | L | 10 | 31.2 | |
| Sep 26, 2026 | vsLLong Island University | W | 20 | — | |
| Oct 7, 2026 | vs New Mexico State | W | 22 | 24.8 | |
| Oct 13, 2026 | @ Jacksonville State | L | 24 | 16.0 | |
| Oct 20, 2026 | vs Middle Tennessee | L | 23 | 28.3 | |
| Oct 31, 2026 | @ Liberty | L | 10 | 12.3 |
Method
- Expected is an offense and a defense a team, fit over every 2026 game between two teams in the table with the game being read left out, plus 1.9 for the home team (the edge the fit finds once strength is in), nothing at a neutral site.
- Each expected number is then fit to the season’s games: a game bears out about 66% of the difference the model predicts.
- Long Island University has no other game in the table, so that game has no expected number and sits out the second figure.
- Who played is read from the schools’ box scores’ participation lists, which name every player who entered the game.