Florida International’s passing yards with Sterling Joseph and without Sterling Joseph
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Against what the season’s ratings expected, Florida International was 3.8 yards under with Sterling Joseph and 84.0 yards over without Sterling Joseph in 2026, 6 games against 1. The plain averages are 235.9 and 280.0, a difference of 44.1. Expected was 45.2 yards higher with Sterling Joseph than without Sterling Joseph. All 4 home games were with Sterling Joseph. All 6 night games were with Sterling Joseph. All 4 nonconference games were with Sterling Joseph.
Sterling Joseph, running back: 88 rushing yards, 23 carries and 3 receptions in 7 games this season.
One game without Sterling Joseph is one game, not a sample, but maybe you can find something if you squint.
passing yards a game over expected
with Sterling Joseph
−3.8
without Sterling Joseph
+84.0
-1000100
plain
235.9
280.0
200300
The games
with Sterling Josephwithout Sterling Joseph
| Side | Date | Game | Result | passing yards | Expected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 5, 2026 | @ South Florida | L | 301 | 228.9 | |
| Sep 12, 2026 | vs Buffalo | W | 386 | 248.1 | |
| Sep 19, 2026 | @ Florida Atlantic | L | 262 | 264.0 | |
| Sep 26, 2026 | vsLLong Island University | W | 227 | — | |
| Oct 7, 2026 | vs New Mexico State | W | 120 | 258.3 | |
| Oct 13, 2026 | @ Jacksonville State | L | 280 | 196.0 | |
| Oct 20, 2026 | vs Middle Tennessee | L | 179 | 247.1 | |
| Oct 31, 2026 | @ Liberty | L | 176 | 200.5 |
Method
- Expected is an offense and a defense a team, fit over every 2026 game between two teams in the table with the game being read left out, plus 4.1 for the home team (the edge the fit finds once strength is in), nothing at a neutral site.
- Each expected number is then fit to the season’s games: a game bears out about 59% of the difference the model predicts.
- Long Island University has no other game in the table, so that game has no expected number and sits out the second figure.
- Who played is read from the schools’ box scores’ participation lists, which name every player who entered the game.