Putting Up Numbers· college football

Florida International’s passing yards with Anthony Carrie and without Anthony Carrie

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Against what the season’s ratings expected, Florida International was 21.5 yards over with Anthony Carrie and 68.1 yards under without Anthony Carrie in 2026, 6 games against 1. The plain averages are 250.3 and 179.0, a difference of 71.3. All 4 away games were with Anthony Carrie. Both day games were with Anthony Carrie. All 4 nonconference games were with Anthony Carrie.

Anthony Carrie, running back: 258 rushing yards, 82 carries and 10 receptions in 7 games this season.

One game without Anthony Carrie is one game, not a sample, but maybe you can find something if you squint.

passing yards a game over expected

The games

with Anthony Carriewithout Anthony Carrie
Florida International’s games, 2026, each marked with Anthony Carrie or without Anthony Carrie
SideDateGameResultpassing yardsExpected
Sep 5, 2026@South FloridaL301228.9
Sep 12, 2026vsBuffaloW386248.1
Sep 19, 2026@Florida AtlanticL262264.0
Sep 26, 2026vsLLong Island UniversityW227—
Oct 7, 2026vsNew Mexico StateW120258.3
Oct 13, 2026@Jacksonville StateL280196.0
Oct 20, 2026vsMiddle TennesseeL179247.1
Oct 31, 2026@LibertyL176200.5

Method

Read against .

  • Expected is an offense and a defense a team, fit over every 2026 game between two teams in the table with the game being read left out, plus 4.1 for the home team (the edge the fit finds once strength is in), nothing at a neutral site.
  • Each expected number is then fit to the season’s games: a game bears out about 59% of the difference the model predicts.
  • Long Island University has no other game in the table, so that game has no expected number and sits out the second figure.
  • Who played is read from the schools’ box scores’ participation lists, which name every player who entered the game.