Eastern Michigan’s points with Noah Kim and since Noah Kim’s last game
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Against what the season’s ratings expected, Eastern Michigan was 2.2 points under with Noah Kim and 2.6 points under since Noah Kim’s last game in 2026, 6 games against 1. The plain averages are 21.5 and 20.0, a difference of 1.5. All 4 home games were with Noah Kim. Both night games were with Noah Kim. Both opponents outside the major colleges were with Noah Kim.
Noah Kim, quarterback: 1,678 passing yards, 285 pass attempts and 169 completions in 8 games this season.
One game since Noah Kim’s last game is one game, not a sample, but maybe you can find something if you squint.
points a game over expected
with Noah Kim
−2.2
since Noah Kim’s last game
−2.6
-1001020
plain
21.5
20.0
102030
The games
with Noah Kimsince Noah Kim’s last game
| Side | Date | Game | Result | points | Expected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 29, 2026 | vsSSacramento State | W | 28 | — | |
| Sep 4, 2026 | vs San Jose State | L | 21 | 21.8 | |
| Sep 12, 2026 | @ Michigan State | L | 7 | 17.0 | |
| Sep 19, 2026 | @ Wisconsin | L | 10 | 10.0 | |
| Sep 26, 2026 | vsLLindenwood | W | 29 | — | |
| Oct 3, 2026 | @ UMass | W | 38 | 17.8 | |
| Oct 10, 2026 | @ Akron | W | 25 | 30.3 | |
| Oct 17, 2026 | vs Toledo | L | 14 | 31.0 | |
| Oct 24, 2026 | @ Ohio | L | 20 | 22.6 |
Method
- Expected is an offense and a defense a team, fit over every 2026 game between two teams in the table with the game being read left out, plus 1.9 for the home team (the edge the fit finds once strength is in), nothing at a neutral site.
- Each expected number is then fit to the season’s games: a game bears out about 66% of the difference the model predicts.
- Sacramento State, Lindenwood have no other game in the table, so those games have no expected number and sit out the second figure.
- Who played is read from the schools’ box scores’ participation lists, which name every player who entered the game.
- With him means he was the team’s quarterback that game, at least half of its pass attempts; a game he left early or came into late reads as without him.