Putting Up Numbers· college football

Eastern Michigan’s points with Braydon Bennett and since Braydon Bennett’s last game

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Against what the season’s ratings expected, Eastern Michigan was 0.8 points under with Braydon Bennett and 17.1 points under since Braydon Bennett’s last game over its last 25 games, 7 games against 1. The plain averages are 21.3 and 7.0, a difference of 14.3. All 4 home games were with Braydon Bennett. All 5 away games were with Braydon Bennett. All 7 day games were with Braydon Bennett.

Braydon Bennett, running back: 280 rushing yards, 63 carries and 9 receptions in 9 of those 25 games.

One game since Braydon Bennett’s last game is one game, not a sample, but maybe you can find something if you squint.

points a game over expected

The games

with Braydon Bennettsince Braydon Bennett’s last game
Eastern Michigan’s games, last 25 games, each marked with Braydon Bennett or since Braydon Bennett’s last game
SideDateGameResultpointsExpected
Nov 13, 2024@OhioL1018.1
Nov 20, 2024vsBuffaloL2028.0
Nov 30, 2024@Western MichiganL1827.5
Aug 30, 2025@Texas StateL2728.5
Sep 6, 2025vsLLong Island UniversityL23—
Sep 13, 2025@KentuckyL2316.8
Sep 20, 2025vsLouisianaW3429.5
Sep 27, 2025@Central MichiganL1324.8
Oct 4, 2025@BuffaloL3025.0
Oct 11, 2025vsNorthern IllinoisW1628.1
Oct 18, 2025@Miami (OH)L3021.4
Oct 25, 2025vsOhioL2123.2
Nov 8, 2025vsBowling GreenW2727.4
Nov 15, 2025@Ball StateW2427.6
Nov 25, 2025vsWestern MichiganL2118.8
Aug 29, 2026vsSSacramento StateW28—
Sep 4, 2026vsSan Jose StateL2120.2
Sep 12, 2026@Michigan StateL715.5
Sep 19, 2026@WisconsinL108.7
Sep 26, 2026vsLLindenwoodW29—
Oct 3, 2026@UMassW3818.2
Oct 10, 2026@AkronW2527.8
Oct 17, 2026vsToledoL1428.8
Oct 24, 2026@OhioL2021.0
Nov 4, 2026vsCentral Michigan (neutral)L724.1

Method

Read against .

  • Expected is an offense and a defense a team, fit over every 2026 game between two teams in the table with the game being read left out, plus 1.8 for the home team (the edge the fit finds once strength is in), nothing at a neutral site.
  • Each expected number is then fit to the season’s games: a game bears out about 66% of the difference the model predicts.
  • Sacramento State, Lindenwood have no other game in the table, so those games have no expected number and sit out the second figure.
  • Who played is read from the schools’ box scores’ participation lists for 9 of these 10 games; in the other game a player is counted as in it when the box score has a stat for him.
  • 15 games in 2024 and 2025 are neither with Braydon Bennett nor since Braydon Bennett’s last game: Braydon Bennett had no game for the team those seasons, and sit out.