Eastern Michigan’s points of margin with Noah Kim and since Noah Kim’s last game
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Against what the season’s ratings expected, Eastern Michigan was 3.4 points under with Noah Kim and 6.6 points over since Noah Kim’s last game in 2026, 6 games against 1. The plain averages are -4.4 and -4.0, a difference of 0.4. Expected was 2.0 points higher with Noah Kim than since Noah Kim’s last game. All 4 home games were with Noah Kim. Both night games were with Noah Kim. Both opponents outside the major colleges were with Noah Kim.
Noah Kim, quarterback: 1,678 passing yards, 285 pass attempts and 169 completions in 8 games this season.
One game since Noah Kim’s last game is one game, not a sample, but maybe you can find something if you squint.
points of margin a game over expected
with Noah Kim
−3.4
since Noah Kim’s last game
+6.6
020
plain
-4.4
-4.0
-40-20020
The games
with Noah Kimsince Noah Kim’s last game
| Side | Date | Game | Result | points of margin | Expected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 29, 2026 | vsSSacramento State | W | 11 | — | |
| Sep 4, 2026 | vs San Jose State | L | -6 | -2.3 | |
| Sep 12, 2026 | @ Michigan State | L | -28 | -17.0 | |
| Sep 19, 2026 | @ Wisconsin | L | -44 | -24.4 | |
| Sep 26, 2026 | vsLLindenwood | W | 26 | — | |
| Oct 3, 2026 | @ UMass | W | 24 | -12.0 | |
| Oct 10, 2026 | @ Akron | W | 2 | 6.2 | |
| Oct 17, 2026 | vs Toledo | L | -20 | -2.2 | |
| Oct 24, 2026 | @ Ohio | L | -4 | -10.6 |
Method
- Expected is an offense and a defense a team, fit over every 2026 game between two teams in the table with the game being read left out, plus 3.7 for the home team (the edge the fit finds once strength is in), nothing at a neutral site.
- Each expected number is then fit to the season’s games: a game bears out about 79% of the difference the model predicts.
- Sacramento State, Lindenwood have no other game in the table, so those games have no expected number and sit out the second figure.
- Who played is read from the schools’ box scores’ participation lists, which name every player who entered the game.
- With him means he was the team’s quarterback that game, at least half of its pass attempts; a game he left early or came into late reads as without him.