Eastern Michigan’s points of margin with Braydon Bennett and since Braydon Bennett’s last game
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Against what the season’s ratings expected, Eastern Michigan was 0.8 points over with Braydon Bennett and 25.9 points under since Braydon Bennett’s last game over its last 25 games, 7 games against 1. The plain averages are -4.3 and -28.0, a difference of 23.7. All 4 home games were with Braydon Bennett. All 5 away games were with Braydon Bennett. All 7 day games were with Braydon Bennett.
Braydon Bennett, running back: 280 rushing yards, 63 carries and 9 receptions in 9 of those 25 games.
One game since Braydon Bennett’s last game is one game, not a sample, but maybe you can find something if you squint.
points of margin a game over expected
with Braydon Bennett
+0.8
since Braydon Bennett’s last game
−25.9
-20020
plain
-4.3
-28.0
-40-20020
The games
with Braydon Bennettsince Braydon Bennett’s last game
| Side | Date | Game | Result | points of margin | Expected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 13, 2024 | @ Ohio | L | -25 | -16.5 | |
| Nov 20, 2024 | vs Buffalo | L | -17 | -0.4 | |
| Nov 30, 2024 | @ Western Michigan | L | -8 | -6.0 | |
| Aug 30, 2025 | @ Texas State | L | -25 | -11.2 | |
| Sep 6, 2025 | vsLLong Island University | L | -5 | — | |
| Sep 13, 2025 | @ Kentucky | L | -25 | -19.0 | |
| Sep 20, 2025 | vs Louisiana | W | 3 | 1.7 | |
| Sep 27, 2025 | @ Central Michigan | L | -11 | -4.5 | |
| Oct 4, 2025 | @Buffalo | L | -1 | -1.6 | |
| Oct 11, 2025 | vs Northern Illinois | W | 6 | 3.0 | |
| Oct 18, 2025 | @ Miami (OH) | L | -14 | -9.0 | |
| Oct 25, 2025 | vsOhio | L | -7 | -8.3 | |
| Nov 8, 2025 | vs Bowling Green | W | 6 | 3.1 | |
| Nov 15, 2025 | @ Ball State | W | 15 | 0.9 | |
| Nov 25, 2025 | vsWestern Michigan | L | -10 | -9.7 | |
| Aug 29, 2026 | vsSSacramento State | W | 11 | — | |
| Sep 4, 2026 | vs San Jose State | L | -6 | -5.6 | |
| Sep 12, 2026 | @ Michigan State | L | -28 | -19.9 | |
| Sep 19, 2026 | @ Wisconsin | L | -44 | -27.5 | |
| Sep 26, 2026 | vsLLindenwood | W | 26 | — | |
| Oct 3, 2026 | @ UMass | W | 24 | -12.1 | |
| Oct 10, 2026 | @ Akron | W | 2 | 2.1 | |
| Oct 17, 2026 | vs Toledo | L | -20 | -5.7 | |
| Oct 24, 2026 | @Ohio | L | -4 | -12.9 | |
| Nov 4, 2026 | vsCentral Michigan (neutral) | L | -28 | -2.1 |
Method
- Expected is an offense and a defense a team, fit over every 2026 game between two teams in the table with the game being read left out, plus 3.7 for the home team (the edge the fit finds once strength is in), nothing at a neutral site.
- Each expected number is then fit to the season’s games: a game bears out about 79% of the difference the model predicts.
- Sacramento State, Lindenwood have no other game in the table, so those games have no expected number and sit out the second figure.
- Who played is read from the schools’ box scores’ participation lists for 9 of these 10 games; in the other game a player is counted as in it when the box score has a stat for him.
- 15 games in 2024 and 2025 are neither with Braydon Bennett nor since Braydon Bennett’s last game: Braydon Bennett had no game for the team those seasons, and sit out.