Putting Up Numbers· college football

Eastern Michigan’s points of margin with Braydon Bennett and since Braydon Bennett’s last game

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Against what the season’s ratings expected, Eastern Michigan was 0.8 points over with Braydon Bennett and 25.9 points under since Braydon Bennett’s last game in 2026, 7 games against 1. The plain averages are -4.3 and -28.0, a difference of 23.7. All 4 home games were with Braydon Bennett. All 5 away games were with Braydon Bennett. All 7 day games were with Braydon Bennett.

Braydon Bennett, running back: 280 rushing yards, 63 carries and 9 receptions in 9 games this season.

One game since Braydon Bennett’s last game is one game, not a sample, but maybe you can find something if you squint.

points of margin a game over expected

The games

with Braydon Bennettsince Braydon Bennett’s last game
Eastern Michigan’s games, 2026, each marked with Braydon Bennett or since Braydon Bennett’s last game
SideDateGameResultpoints of marginExpected
Aug 29, 2026vsSSacramento StateW11—
Sep 4, 2026vsSan Jose StateL-6-5.6
Sep 12, 2026@Michigan StateL-28-19.9
Sep 19, 2026@WisconsinL-44-27.5
Sep 26, 2026vsLLindenwoodW26—
Oct 3, 2026@UMassW24-12.1
Oct 10, 2026@AkronW22.1
Oct 17, 2026vsToledoL-20-5.7
Oct 24, 2026@OhioL-4-12.9
Nov 4, 2026vsCentral Michigan (neutral)L-28-2.1

Method

Read against .

  • Expected is an offense and a defense a team, fit over every 2026 game between two teams in the table with the game being read left out, plus 3.7 for the home team (the edge the fit finds once strength is in), nothing at a neutral site.
  • Each expected number is then fit to the season’s games: a game bears out about 79% of the difference the model predicts.
  • Sacramento State, Lindenwood have no other game in the table, so those games have no expected number and sit out the second figure.
  • Who played is read from the schools’ box scores’ participation lists for 9 of these 10 games; in the other game a player is counted as in it when the box score has a stat for him.