Eastern Michigan’s points of margin with Amareon Blue and since Amareon Blue’s last game
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Against what the season’s ratings expected, Eastern Michigan was 0.8 points over with Amareon Blue and 25.9 points under since Amareon Blue’s last game in 2026, 7 games against 1. The plain averages are -4.3 and -28.0, a difference of 23.7. All 4 home games were with Amareon Blue. All 5 away games were with Amareon Blue. All 7 day games were with Amareon Blue.
Amareon Blue, running back: 405 rushing yards, 79 carries and 8 receptions in 9 games this season.
One game since Amareon Blue’s last game is one game, not a sample, but maybe you can find something if you squint.
points of margin a game over expected
with Amareon Blue
+0.8
since Amareon Blue’s last game
−25.9
-20020
plain
-4.3
-28.0
-40-20020
The games
with Amareon Bluesince Amareon Blue’s last game
| Side | Date | Game | Result | points of margin | Expected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 29, 2026 | vsSSacramento State | W | 11 | — | |
| Sep 4, 2026 | vs San Jose State | L | -6 | -5.6 | |
| Sep 12, 2026 | @ Michigan State | L | -28 | -19.9 | |
| Sep 19, 2026 | @ Wisconsin | L | -44 | -27.5 | |
| Sep 26, 2026 | vsLLindenwood | W | 26 | — | |
| Oct 3, 2026 | @ UMass | W | 24 | -12.1 | |
| Oct 10, 2026 | @ Akron | W | 2 | 2.1 | |
| Oct 17, 2026 | vs Toledo | L | -20 | -5.7 | |
| Oct 24, 2026 | @ Ohio | L | -4 | -12.9 | |
| Nov 4, 2026 | vs Central Michigan (neutral) | L | -28 | -2.1 |
Method
- Expected is an offense and a defense a team, fit over every 2026 game between two teams in the table with the game being read left out, plus 3.7 for the home team (the edge the fit finds once strength is in), nothing at a neutral site.
- Each expected number is then fit to the season’s games: a game bears out about 79% of the difference the model predicts.
- Sacramento State, Lindenwood have no other game in the table, so those games have no expected number and sit out the second figure.
- Who played is read from the schools’ box scores’ participation lists for 9 of these 10 games; in the other game a player is counted as in it when the box score has a stat for him.