Duke’s yards a carry with Javen Nicholas and without Javen Nicholas
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Duke averaged 4.52 yards a carry with Javen Nicholas and 6.10 without Javen Nicholas over its last 25 games, 5 games against 3, a difference of 1.58. All 5 conference games were with Javen Nicholas. All 3 nonconference games were without Javen Nicholas.
Javen Nicholas, receiver: 57 receiving yards and 4 receptions in 3 of those 25 games.
3 games without Javen Nicholas is still too small a sample for the statistics to say much, but maybe you can find something if you squint.
yards a carry a game
with Javen Nicholas
4.52
without Javen Nicholas
6.10
4567
A −1.58 difference in yards a carry with Javen Nicholas vs without Javen Nicholas is about what you’d expect.
The games
with Javen Nicholaswithout Javen Nicholas
| Side | Date | Game | Result | yards a carry | Expected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 23, 2024 | vs Virginia Tech | W | 2.91 | — | |
| Nov 30, 2024 | @ Wake Forest | W | 3.77 | — | |
| Jan 2, 2025 | vs Ole Miss (neutral) | L | 1.91 | — | |
| Aug 28, 2025 | vsEElon | W | 6.36 | — | |
| Sep 6, 2025 | vs Illinois | L | 3.42 | — | |
| Sep 13, 2025 | @ Tulane | L | 6.30 | — | |
| Sep 20, 2025 | vs NC State | W | 4.41 | — | |
| Sep 27, 2025 | @ Syracuse | W | 6.56 | — | |
| Oct 4, 2025 | @ California | W | 5 | — | |
| Oct 18, 2025 | vs Georgia Tech | L | 2.61 | — | |
| Nov 1, 2025 | @ Clemson | W | 3.55 | — | |
| Nov 8, 2025 | @ UConn | L | 4.94 | — | |
| Nov 15, 2025 | vs Virginia | L | 1.83 | — | |
| Nov 22, 2025 | @ North Carolina | W | 4.53 | — | |
| Nov 29, 2025 | vsWake Forest | W | 2.82 | — | |
| Dec 6, 2025 | vsVirginia (neutral) | W | 3.21 | — | |
| Dec 31, 2025 | vs Arizona State (neutral) | W | 6.35 | — | |
| Sep 5, 2026 | vsTulane | W | 5.23 | — | |
| Sep 12, 2026 | @Illinois | W | 5.33 | — | |
| Sep 19, 2026 | vs Stanford | W | 5.85 | — | |
| Sep 26, 2026 | vs William & Mary | W | 7.73 | — | |
| Oct 10, 2026 | @Georgia Tech | L | 4.54 | — | |
| Oct 17, 2026 | vsNorth Carolina | L | 4.13 | — | |
| Oct 23, 2026 | @Virginia | W | 4 | — | |
| Oct 31, 2026 | vs Boston College | W | 4.08 | — |
Method
- The shuffle keeps the season’s shape: the games are cut in two where one date leaves the least variance, each game is read against its stretch, and the sides are shuffled only inside each stretch.
- Who played is read from the schools’ box scores’ participation lists, which name every player who entered the game.
- 17 games in 2024 and 2025 are neither with Javen Nicholas nor without Javen Nicholas: Javen Nicholas had no game for the team those seasons, and sit out.