Delaware’s third-down conversion rate with Braden Streeter and without Braden Streeter
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Against what the season’s ratings expected, Delaware was 6.6 percentage points under with Braden Streeter and 2.4 percentage points under without Braden Streeter in 2026, 1 game against 6. The plain averages are 28.6% and 36.6%, a difference of 8.1%. All 4 home games were without Braden Streeter. Both day games were without Braden Streeter. All 4 conference games were without Braden Streeter.
Braden Streeter, quarterback: 175 passing yards, 35 pass attempts and 12 completions in 4 games this season.
One game with Braden Streeter is one game, not a sample, but maybe you can find something if you squint.
third-down conversion rate a game over expected
with Braden Streeter
−6.6%
without Braden Streeter
−2.4%
-20%0%
plain
28.6%
36.6%
20%30%40%50%
The games
with Braden Streeterwithout Braden Streeter
| Side | Date | Game | Result | 3rd downs | Expected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 3, 2026 | vsMMerrimack | W | 46.2% | — | |
| Sep 12, 2026 | @ Vanderbilt | L | 20.0% | 40.1% | |
| Sep 19, 2026 | vs Coastal Carolina | W | 41.7% | 39.8% | |
| Sep 26, 2026 | @ Virginia | L | 28.6% | 35.1% | |
| Oct 2, 2026 | vs Liberty | L | 15.4% | 36.7% | |
| Oct 13, 2026 | @ Middle Tennessee | L | 41.7% | 35.6% | |
| Oct 20, 2026 | vs Missouri State | W | 41.7% | 41.8% | |
| Oct 27, 2026 | @ Western Kentucky | W | 50.0% | 30.9% |
Method
- Expected is an offense and a defense a team, fit over every 2026 game between two teams in the table with the game being read left out, plus 1.4% for the home team (the edge the fit finds once strength is in), nothing at a neutral site.
- Each expected number is then fit to the season’s games: a game bears out about 40% of the difference the model predicts.
- Merrimack has no other game in the table, so that game has no expected number and sits out the second figure.
- Who played is read from the schools’ box scores’ participation lists, which name every player who entered the game.
- With him means he was the team’s quarterback that game, at least half of its pass attempts; a game he left early or came into late reads as without him.