Delaware’s points with Braden Streeter and without Braden Streeter
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Against what the season’s ratings expected, Delaware was 21.6 points under with Braden Streeter and 1.7 points over without Braden Streeter over its last 21 games, 1 game against 18. The plain averages are 3.0 and 30.4, a difference of 27.4. All 10 home games were without Braden Streeter. Both neutral-site games were without Braden Streeter. All 9 day games were without Braden Streeter.
Braden Streeter, quarterback: 273 passing yards, 54 pass attempts and 24 completions in 6 of those 21 games.
One game with Braden Streeter is one game, not a sample, but maybe you can find something if you squint.
points a game over expected
with Braden Streeter
−21.6
without Braden Streeter
+1.7
-20020
plain
3.0
30.4
204060
The games
with Braden Streeterwithout Braden Streeter
| Side | Date | Game | Result | points | Expected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 28, 2025 | vsDDelaware State | W | 35 | — | |
| Sep 6, 2025 | @ Colorado | L | 7 | 25.6 | |
| Sep 13, 2025 | vs UConn | W | 44 | 27.5 | |
| Sep 20, 2025 | @ Florida International | W | 38 | 27.3 | |
| Oct 3, 2025 | vs Western Kentucky | L | 24 | 28.1 | |
| Oct 15, 2025 | @ Jacksonville State | L | 25 | 26.8 | |
| Oct 22, 2025 | vs Middle Tennessee | W | 31 | 32.9 | |
| Nov 1, 2025 | @ Liberty | L | 30 | 26.7 | |
| Nov 8, 2025 | vs Louisiana Tech | W | 25 | 25.9 | |
| Nov 15, 2025 | vs Sam Houston (neutral) | L | 23 | 36.8 | |
| Nov 22, 2025 | @ Wake Forest | L | 14 | 18.6 | |
| Nov 29, 2025 | vs UTEP | W | 61 | 28.2 | |
| Dec 17, 2025 | vs Louisiana (neutral) | W | 20 | 31.4 | |
| Sep 3, 2026 | vsMMerrimack | W | 42 | — | |
| Sep 12, 2026 | @ Vanderbilt | L | 26 | 23.5 | |
| Sep 19, 2026 | vs Coastal Carolina | W | 22 | 29.0 | |
| Sep 26, 2026 | @ Virginia | L | 3 | 24.6 | |
| Oct 2, 2026 | vsLiberty | L | 14 | 22.4 | |
| Oct 13, 2026 | @Middle Tennessee | L | 30 | 30.9 | |
| Oct 20, 2026 | vs Missouri State | W | 61 | 28.0 | |
| Oct 27, 2026 | @Western Kentucky | W | 35 | 30.2 |
Method
- Expected is an offense and a defense a team, fit over every game of its season between two teams in the table with the game being read left out, plus 1.5 in 2025, plus 1.9 in 2026 for the home team (the edge the fit finds once strength is in), nothing at a neutral site.
- Each expected number is then fit to the season’s games: a game bears out about 78% in 2025, 66% in 2026 of the difference the model predicts.
- Delaware State, Merrimack have no other game in the table, so those games have no expected number and sit out the second figure.
- Who played is read from the schools’ box scores’ participation lists, which name every player who entered the game.
- With him means he was the team’s quarterback that game, at least half of its pass attempts; a game he left early or came into late reads as without him.