Putting Up Numbers· college football

Delaware’s points allowed with Braden Streeter and without Braden Streeter

, ,

Against what the season’s ratings expected, Delaware was 15.2 points over with Braden Streeter and 0.6 points over without Braden Streeter over its last 21 games, 1 game against 18. The plain averages are 42.0 and 29.1, a difference of 13.0. All 10 home games were without Braden Streeter. Both neutral-site games were without Braden Streeter. All 9 day games were without Braden Streeter.

Braden Streeter, quarterback: 273 passing yards, 54 pass attempts and 24 completions in 6 of those 21 games.

One game with Braden Streeter is one game, not a sample, but maybe you can find something if you squint.

points allowed a game over expected

The games

with Braden Streeterwithout Braden Streeter
Delaware’s games, last 21 games, each marked with Braden Streeter or without Braden Streeter
SideDateGameResultpoints allowedExpected
Aug 28, 2025vsDDelaware StateW17—
Sep 6, 2025@ColoradoL3135.5
Sep 13, 2025vsUConnW4133.8
Sep 20, 2025@Florida InternationalW1634.7
Oct 3, 2025vsWestern KentuckyL2731.6
Oct 15, 2025@Jacksonville StateL3830.7
Oct 22, 2025vsMiddle TennesseeW2826.7
Nov 1, 2025@LibertyL5927.9
Nov 8, 2025vsLouisiana TechW2431.8
Nov 15, 2025vsSam Houston (neutral)L2624.8
Nov 22, 2025@Wake ForestL5234.5
Nov 29, 2025vsUTEPW3124.6
Dec 17, 2025vsLouisiana (neutral)W1333.3
Sep 3, 2026vsMMerrimackW7—
Sep 12, 2026@VanderbiltL3533.1
Sep 19, 2026vsCoastal CarolinaW1430.2
Sep 26, 2026@VirginiaL4226.8
Oct 2, 2026vsLibertyL3035.2
Oct 13, 2026@Middle TennesseeL3327.5
Oct 20, 2026vsMissouri StateW3821.7
Oct 27, 2026@Western KentuckyW2128.5

Method

Read against .

  • Expected is an offense and a defense a team, fit over every game of its season between two teams in the table with the game being read left out, minus 1.5 in 2025, minus 1.9 in 2026 for the home team (the edge the fit finds once strength is in), nothing at a neutral site.
  • Each expected number is then fit to the season’s games: a game bears out about 78% in 2025, 66% in 2026 of the difference the model predicts.
  • Delaware State, Merrimack have no other game in the table, so those games have no expected number and sit out the second figure.
  • Who played is read from the schools’ box scores’ participation lists, which name every player who entered the game.
  • With him means he was the team’s quarterback that game, at least half of its pass attempts; a game he left early or came into late reads as without him.